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Differential Dynamos: 5 Under-the-Radar FPL Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 24 July 2024

The Art of the Fantasy Premier League Differentials

As Fantasy Premier League managers gear up for the new season, the search for those game-changing differentials intensifies. These low-ownership gems could be the secret to climbing the ranks early.

We've crunched the numbers to bring you five differentials that could set your team apart over the first six gameweeks.


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1. Kevin De Bruyne: The Midfield Maestro

Ownership: 7.0%

Price: £9.5m

Projected Points (6 GWs): 32.0

Kevin De Bruyne, despite his world-class status, finds himself in differential territory with just 7% ownership. The Manchester City playmaker faces a tough opener against Chelsea, but his Gameweek 2 fixture against Ipswich Town sees him projected to score an impressive 7.6 points. With favourable fixtures in Gameweek 3 and 4 against West Ham and Brentford, De Bruyne could be the premium differential that propels your team up the rankings.

Fantasy Premier League players' projected points for the first six Gameweeks

De Bruyne ranks highest in projected points for the first six Gameweeks among players owned by 10% or less, according to the Predicted Points & Stats tool.

2. Heung-Min Son: Tottenham's Talisman

Ownership: 9.0%

Price: £10.0m

Projected Points (6 GWs): 27.5

Surprisingly under-selected at 9% ownership, Son offers explosive potential in the opening Gameweeks. After an away fixture at Leicester, Spurs face Everton at home where Son is projected to score 5.3 points. With additional home games against Arsenal and Brentford in Gameweek 4 and 5, Son could be the differential that gives your team the edge.

3. Andrew Robertson: Liverpool's Attacking Defender

Ownership: 6.5%

Price: £6.0m

Projected Points (6 GWs): 24.0

Robertson presents excellent value at £6.0m with a low ownership of 6.5%. Liverpool's kind run of fixtures, including home games against Brentford, Nottingham Forest, and Bournemouth in the first six Gameweeks, makes Robertson an attractive proposition. His attacking potential combined with clean sheet opportunities could yield significant returns.

Fantasy Premier League fixtures for the first six Gameweeks

Liverpool have the best fixtures for both defensive and offensive potential, as shown in the Fixture Planner tool above.

4. Morgan Gibbs-White: Forest's Creative Spark

Ownership: 6.5%

Price: £6.5m

Projected Points (6 GWs): 23.4

At £6.5m and owned by just 6.5% of managers, Gibbs-White offers excellent differential value. With a projected 4.7 points in Forest's opener against Bournemouth and favourable fixtures against Southampton and Wolves in Gameweek 2 and 3, he could be set for a strong start. As a key player for Forest, expect him to be involved in much of their attacking play.

Nottingham Forest Fantasy Premier League stats for the 2023/24 season

Gibbs-White scored the most FPL points (142) of any Nottingham Forest player last season, as shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox tool. He averaged 3.84 points per game, second only to his teammate Wood, who averaged 4.23.

5. Chris Wood: The Budget Forward Option

Ownership: 3.3%

Price: £6.0m

Projected Points (6 GWs): 21.4

Our final differential pick is Nottingham Forest's Chris Wood. At £6.0m and with a mere 3.3% ownership, he's a budget-friendly forward with potential for high returns. Wood is projected to score 4.0 points in Forest's opener against Bournemouth, with subsequent fixtures against Southampton and Wolves offering further opportunities. As Forest's main striker, he could be a shrewd differential pick for those looking to free up funds elsewhere.

Forwards in a Fantasy Premier League team reveal

Wood joins Isak upfront in Tim Walpole's team. The Elite XI: Team Reveal manager boasts an impressive eight top 10k finishes.

Conclusion: Dare to Differentiate

While popular picks have their place, these differentials offer the chance to gain an early advantage in your mini-leagues. From De Bruyne's world-class playmaking to Wood's potential for goals, these players could be the key to a strong start in FPL.


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