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FPL Gameweek 21: Spurs Attack Analysed

Fantasy Football Fix 10 Jan. 2024

Spurs have been one of the league's best attacks under Postecoglou. In Son's absence, some of the other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) options in their offensive line up are compared over the last five Gameweeks in this blog.

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Richarlison

As the above image from our Fix Comparison Matrix shows, having established himself in the centre-forward role, Richarlison has started each of Spurs' last five matches but often gets hooked around the 70th minute mark, playing an average of 71 minutes per game. He is top of the trio for goals (five), shots (15), shots on target (SoT) (seven) and 'big chances' (six) by a significant margin. It is interesting to note that he has only attempted two assists in five matches so unlike the other options on display, he would appear that he does not have any alternative routes to points besides goals.

Dejan Kulusevski

Usually a 90 minute man, Kulusevski missed Spurs' game against Bournemouth in Gameweek 20 due to a suspension. The Swedish international has played on the wing and in the number 10 role for Spurs recently, and notched one goal and as many assists. Even though the shot volume is low (seven), a large percentage of these shots have been on target (five). He has been the creative hub of the team with 12 chances created and four BC created, so he does have multiple routes to points. His minutes are unlikely to be affected by Werner, Maddison or even Son returning to the Spurs' lineup so he is a good long term pick.

Brennan Johnson

Spurs will be looking to B. Johnson to fill in the void left by Son on the wing, he featured in all of Spurs' last five matches but came off the bench in Gameweek 17 against Forest. Despite not scoring any goals over the aforementioned period, he did manage three assists with 10 chances created. He has been wasteful with his finishing with only two of his eight attempted shots testing the opposition goalkeeper.

Richarlison vs Kulusevski

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As the above image from our Fix Heatmaps feature shows, while Kulusevski has landed a similar number of SoT (five vs seven), Richarlison has registered an 'Expected Goals' (xG) tally of 2.87 which is over five times as much as Kulusevski (0.48). The Swedish international's 0.12 xG per 90 mins is very low indeed and his creativity is likely to be his primary source of points. Three attempted assists per game is a very healthy number and on average he creates one big chance a game.

There is also the Werner factor which is likely to influence Richarlison's minutes more than Kulusevski's.

Werner impact

Despite winning the Champions League at Chelsea, Werner's spell at the Blues is not remembered fondly by FPL managers with the German international often frustrating as a pick with his poor finishing. His return to the Bundesliga with RB Leipzig in 2022/23 was a positive one with nine goals and three assists in 23 starts. However, he started only two games over the first half of the 2023/24 campaign with six appearances off the bench. He did, however, find the back of the net twice in just 207 minutes.

Primarily a centre-forward, Werner is capable of playing across the front three which will be useful to Postecoglou in the absence of Son. With Maddison out, Kulusevski was thriving in a no.10 role but in Son's absence he would likely have to play on the wing again. Werner's addition enables Kulusevski to move back into that position which allows Lo Celso to dictate play in their midfield which is crucial in the absence of Sarr and Bissouma. Once Son and Maddison are both back, it does mean that Richarlison's minutes could drop with more options for Spurs. In the short term, it could even contribute to Richarlison being subbed earlier, now that Postecoglou does not simply have to rely on Scarlett as a back-up.

Spurs' fixtures

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As the above image from our Fixture Planner shows, Spurs are ranked in the bottom half of the ticker over the next five Gameweeks, with the visits to Old Trafford and Goodison Park the primary concerns. The home games against Brentford, Brighton and Wolves look great for attacking returns. Investing in their attackers still seems a viable option with Kulusevski and Richarlison being the preffered options, with each having their own merits.

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