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FPL Gameweek 1: Top 5 Key Players

Fantasy Football Fix 16 Aug. 2024

Top Five Key Players for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweek 1

Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Gameweek 1! Each gameweek, we'll highlight top picks to help you make the best decisions for your FPL team. For each gameweek, we'll focus on the following categories:

  • 2 Attackers £8.5m or more
  • 2 Attackers under £8.5m
  • 1 Defender or Goalkeeper


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FPL Headliner - Alexander Isak (SOU)

Isak finished the 2023/24 season strong with nine goals in Newcastle's last 10 matches, only Mateta (11) scored more goals amongst forwards over that period. The Swedish international was top amongst forwards for shots on target (19), 'big chances' (18) and 'Expected Goals' (xG) (10.08). He was also second for 'big chances' created (four). As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he averaged 7.4 FPL points per game in home matches last season.

FPL Points Per Game at home for Isak in Fantasy Premier League 2023/24

Newcastle scored 26 goals over the last 10 Gameweeks of last season with only Chelsea (30) and Man. City (33) more prolific. The Magpies were top for 'big chances' (45) and second for 'Expected Goals' (xG) (26.17). Their visitors Southampton conceded 63 goals in the Championship last season (14th) and were also ranked 14th for goals conceded in away matches (34). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 6.2 for Isak.

Top FPL Premium: Mohamed Salah (ips)

Salah found the back of the net just three times over Liverpool's last 10 matches but the Egyptian international's underlying numbers were still excellent. He was second only behind Palmer for shots (51 vs 44) and 'big chances' (11 vs 10) while no midfielder managed more shots in the box (35). As the below image from our Elite XI: Team Reveal feature feature shows, the Egyptian is currently the most popular captaincy option amongst the top managers. The Elite Managers have a combined 83 top 10k finishes.

Salah Top Consensus Pick for Elite XI Managers

Liverpool scored 21 goals (fifth) over the last 10 Gameweeks of the 2023/24 campaign and were top for xG (27.12). Their opponents Ipswich had the seventh best defensive record in the Championship with 57 goals conceded but were ranked 20th for goals conceded in home matches (32). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 7.0 for Salah.

Top FPL Forward: Kai Havertz (WOL)

Now classified as a forward, Havertz scored five goals between Gameweek 30-38 and also notched five FPL assists. As the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, no current FPL forward created more 'big chances' than his seven over the aforementioned period. He was also ranked third for shots on target (15) and fourth for shots in the box (27).

Creativity Stats for Forwards Gameweek 30-38 Fantasy Premier League 2023/24

Arsenal scored 21 goals (fifth) over the last 10 Gameweeks of last season, the Gunners were fourth for shots (178) and fifth for xG (21.66). Their visitors Wolves conceded a whopping 21 goals over the same period (16th) and kept no clean sheets. The Midlands side were ranked 15th for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (20.01). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 5.1 for Havertz.

Budget FPL Attacker: Chris Wood (BOU)

Wood scored five goals for Forest over Gameweek 30-38 last season with only Isak, Haaland (nine each) and Mateta (11) more prolific. He was afforded 14 'big chances' with only Haaland (15) and Isak (18) registering more. He was ranked third for xG (6.35) with only Haaland (8.48) and Isak (10.08) accumulating more. As the below image from our Fixture Difficulty Ratings feature shows, Forest are ranked third for 'Attack Difficulty' over the first three Gameweeks.

Fixture Difficulty Ratings Gameweek 1-3 for the 2024/25 season

Forest scored 15 goals (13th) over the final 10 Gameweeks of last season and were ranked eighth for 'big chances' (27) and xG (16.93). Their visitors Bournemouth conceded 14 goals over the same period (seventh) and kept three clean sheets. The Cherries were ranked eighth for xGC (14.40). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 4.4 for Wood.

Best FPL Defender: Ben White (WOL)

The top scoring defensive asset of the 2023/24 season, White registered 182 FPL points with four goals, five assists and 18 clean sheets. Only Romero (five) scored more goals while only seven defenders managed more assists than his five. He was ranked sixth amongst defenders for 'Expected Assists' (xA) (4.56).

Clean Sheet Probability Gameweek 1 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Arsenal conceded just five goals in the last 10 Gameweeks of last season and kept seven clean sheets. The Gunners trailed only Man. City (8.89) for xGC (9.01). Their visitors Wolves scored only eight goals (19th) over the same period with only Luton (8.77) registering a lower xG than their 10.26. Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a 50% chance of an Arsenal clean sheet and a point score of 5.2 for White.

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