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Gameweek 11: Top 5 FPL Differentials

Fantasy Football Fix 7 Nov. 2024

Top 5 FPL Differentials for Gameweek 11

Want to get ahead in your Fantasy Premier League (FPL) mini-leagues? You’re in the right place! We've gathered the top 5 differential picks for Gameweek 11, each owned by less than 10% of managers. These under-the-radar players could be your ticket to rising up the ranks and catching your rivals off guard.

Selection Rules

Before we dive into our picks, here are the selection rules we followed:

  • 3 attackers (midfielders or forwards)
  • 2 defensive players (goalkeeper or defenders)
  • All players are currently under 10% ownership

Now, let's explore these potential game-changers for your FPL team.


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Heung-Min Son (Tottenham Hotspur)

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £9.9m
  • Projected GW11 Points: 7.3

Son has been in impressive form this season, amassing 45 points with 3 goals and 3 assists. His expected goals (xG) of 1.38 suggests he’s outperforming expectations, though the South Korean is known for consistently exceeding his underlying stats due to his elite finishing skills. His 5 big chances created also highlight his creative influence on the pitch.

Son's attempted assist map for the 2024/25 season

According to the Opta Heatmaps tool, Son has attempted 18 assists this season. Only Kulusevski, with 27, and Maddison, with 19, have attempted more, though both have played significantly more minutes.

Spurs face Ipswich at home in Gameweek 11, but managers should be cautious of their midweek Europa League fixture against Galatasaray before making early transfers.

Jarrod Bowen (West Ham United)

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £7.5m
  • Projected GW11 Points: 4.7

Bowen has been West Ham's standout performer this season, accumulating 47 points with 3 goals and 3 assists. His underlying stats suggest his performance is sustainable, with an xG of 2.14 and expected assists (xA) of 2.96.

West Ham and Everton stats for the last 5 games

The Match Centre feature highlights his talismanic influence for West Ham, where he leads the team in goals (2) and attempted assists (12), and ranks second for xG (1.5) and shots on target (5) over the last five games. The Hammers host Everton in Gameweek 11, providing an excellent opportunity for further returns.

Matheus Cunha (Wolverhampton Wanderers)

  • Position: Forward
  • Cost: £6.7m
  • Projected GW11 Points: 4.4

Cunha has been a revelation, scoring 4 goals and providing 1 assist for a total of 47 points, despite a challenging set of opening fixtures. Leading this differential selection with 8 big chances created, his xG of 2.41 and xA of 3.42 suggest more returns are likely.

Premier League teams ranked by expected goals conceded

Wolves face Southampton at home in Gameweek 11, a team with the league's second-highest expected goals conceded (22.68), according to the Opta Stats Sandbox tool—indicating they may be fortunate to have conceded only 19 goals so far. This begins a favourable run of fixtures, making Cunha an appealing longer-term option.

Destiny Udogie (Tottenham Hotspur)

  • Position: Defender
  • Cost: £4.9m
  • Projected GW11 Points: 3.8

Udogie has shown strong attacking potential, with 1 assist and an expected assists (xA) of 0.95.

Udogie Opta Heatmap

The Italian left-back frequently gets into advanced positions, as shown by his Opta Heatmap, completing 130 successful passes in the opposition’s final third and recording 32 touches in the opposition's box.

The upcoming home fixture against Ipswich in Gameweek 11 offers potential returns at both ends of the pitch, with Ipswich conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game this season.

Matthijs de Ligt (Manchester United)

  • Position: Defender
  • Cost: £5.0m
  • Projected GW11 Points: 3.7

De Ligt has delivered 2 clean sheets and a goal this season, amassing 29 points. His xG of 0.76 signals a set-piece threat, with the most shots on target (5) of any Manchester United defender, and United's defensive metrics are showing improvement.

Premier League teams projected clean sheets

A home fixture against Leicester in Gameweek 11 offers clean sheet potential, and with Ipswich away and Everton at home following that, United ranks top for projected clean sheets over the next three gameweeks, according to the Predicted Points & Stats tool.

FPL Differentials Conclusion

Remember, these differentials could provide significant rank gains, but as with all FPL decisions, consider your team's overall structure and long-term planning when making transfers.


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