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FPL Gameweek 12: Top 5 Key Players

Fantasy Football Fix 21 Nov. 2024

Top Five Key Players for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweek 12

Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Gameweek 12! Each gameweek, we'll highlight top picks to help you make the best decisions for your FPL team. For each gameweek, we'll focus on the following categories:

  • 2 Attackers £8.5m or more
  • 2 Attackers under £8.5m
  • 1 Defender or Goalkeeper

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FPL Headliner: Erling Haaland (TOT)

Haaland has found the back of the net only twice over the last six Gameweeks but with De Bruyne and Grealish back in training over the international break, the quality of service for the Norwegian should improve.

As the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, his underlying numbers have remained strong over the aforementioned period. No player has taken more shots in the box (26), landed more shots on target (13), or been afforded more 'big chances' (10).

Stats for Players Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Man. City have scored nine goals over the last six Gameweeks (ninth), but are top for shots (114) and second for 'Expected Goals' (xG) (12.63).

Their visitors Spurs have conceded eight goals over the same period (seventh) and have kept just one clean sheet. The North London side are ranked fourth for shots conceded (67) and ninth for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (8.31).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 8.4 for Haaland.

Top FPL Premium: Mohamed Salah (sou)

M. Salah's total of five goals over the last six Gameweeks is joint-top amongst midfielders, the Egyptian international is also top for shots on target (nine) and 'big chances' (seven) while only Palmer has racked up a higher xG (4.27) than his 4.19

As the below image from our Transfer Analytics feature shows, he is currently the most transferred-in player this Gameweek.

Most Transferred in players Gameweek 12 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Liverpool have scored 11 goals over the last six Gameweeks (third) while only Arsenal (23) have created more 'big chances' than their 21.

Their hosts Southampton have conceded 12 goals over the same period (16th) and have kept just one clean sheet. The Saints are ranked 18th for shots conceded (107) and xGC (13.49).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 7.6 for M. Salah.

Differential FPL Forward: Kai Havertz (NFO)

Havertz has scored just twice over the last six Gameweeks, but the return of Ødegaard should see the German international thrive.

The 25-year-old has taken 17 shots (fourth) over the aforementioned period and is ranked fifth for 'big chances' (five) amongst forwards. Meanwhile, only Raúl (3.35) and Haaland (6.15) have racked up a higher xG than his 3.29.

As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 7.2 FPL points per game in home matches this season.

FPL Points Per Game in home matches for Havertz in Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Arsenal have scored 10 goals over the last six Gameweeks (sixth) and have created more 'big chances' (23) than any other side. The Gunners are also top for xG (13.04).

Their visitors Forest have conceded just six goals over as many Gameweeks and have kept two clean sheets. The Nottingham side are ranked 11th for shots in the box conceded (53) and second for xGC (6.67).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 5.1 for Havertz.

Best Midfield Differential: Bruno Fernandes (ips)

Man. Utd. play their first game under new manager Amorim this weekend and his compatriot B. Fernandes should be at the forefront of the Red Devils' attack.

As the below image from our Match Centre feature shows, over their last five matches he is top amongst their players for goals (two), xG (2.1), assists (three) and attempted assists (16).

Manchester United last five Matches Stats Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Man. Utd. have scored seven goals over the last six Gameweeks, but most of these games were under their previous manager Ten Hag. They are ranked eighth for shots (86) and 13th for xG (8.38).

Their hosts Ipswich have conceded more goals than any other side (14) over the last six Gameweeks and have not kept a clean sheet over that period. The Promoted side are ranked 17th for shots in the box conceded (70) and bottom for xGC (14.85).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 4.5 for B. Fernandes.

Top FPL Defender: Gabriel Magalhães (NFO)

After a strong start to the season, Gabriel has picked up just nine FPL points over the last six Gameweeks. But with the fixtures turning for Arsenal, clean sheets and attacking returns should be just around the corner.

The Brazilian international still remains top amongst all defenders for 'big chances' (five) and xG (2.01).

Clean Sheet Probability Gameweek 12 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Arsenal have conceded nine goals over the last six Gameweeks (12th) and have kept no clean sheets. They have been a bit unlucky as no side has allowed opponents fewer shots in the box (36) over that timeframe.

Forest have scored nine goals over the same period (ninth) but are ranked 12th for shots in the box (52) and xG (8.99).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a 50% chance of an Arsenal clean sheet and a score of 4.6 for Gabriel.


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