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Gameweek 12: Top 5 FPL Differentials

Fantasy Football Fix 20 Nov. 2024

GW12 FPL Differentials: 5 Low-Owned Gems to Consider

As we approach Gameweek 12 in Fantasy Premier League, are you looking for that extra edge to climb up your mini-leagues? Look no further!

We've compiled a list of the top 5 differentials for Gameweek 12, all currently owned by less than 10% of managers. These hidden gems could be the key to surprising your rivals and making significant gains.

Selection Rules

Before we dive into our picks, here are the selection rules we followed:

  • 3 attackers (midfielders or forwards)
  • 2 defensive players (goalkeeper or defenders)
  • All players are currently under 10% owned

Now, let's explore these potential game-changers for your FPL team.


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Martin Ødegaard

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £8.3m
  • Projected Points: 4.8

Martin Ødegaard, Arsenal's creative maestro, made an impressive return from injury in Gameweek 12 against Chelsea, providing an assist and earning two bonus points. His influence on the pitch is undeniable, with his knack for creating big chances and involvement in set-pieces making him a compelling FPL option.

Saka vs Odegaard stats for the 2023/24 season

Despite limited minutes this season (just 334), a comparison of Ødegaard’s per 90-minute stats with Bukayo Saka's using the Opta Heatmaps tool highlights his potential. At £1.9m cheaper than Saka, who is flagged with a minor injury, Ødegaard could offer great value.

Arsenal’s Gameweek 12 fixture at home against Nottingham Forest presents an opportunity for the Norwegian midfielder to deliver significant FPL returns. With his exceptional passing and goal-scoring ability, Ødegaard could be the differential that propels your team up the rankings.

Anthony Gordon

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £7.2m
  • Projected Points: 4.6

Anthony Gordon has continued to impress this season with standout performances for Newcastle United. However, a recent hip injury (75% chance of playing) makes monitoring Eddie Howe's press conference essential before considering him for to your squad.

Gordon has accumulated an impressive 39 points from 851 minutes across 10 games. His stats are noteworthy: 2 goals, 1 assist, and 3 big chances created. With an expected goals (xG) of 3.43 and expected assists (xA) of 2.08, he's actually been underperforming.

Newcastle stats for the last 5 games

The Match Centre tool highlights his recent form—over the last 5 games for Newcastle, he ranks second for expected goals and shots on target, while leading in FPL assists and attempted assists. This underscores his versatility and importance to the team.

Newcastle face West Ham United at home in Gameweek 12, a fixture that could see Gordon deliver valuable FPL points. However, keep a close eye on injury updates to ensure his availability before making your move.

Darwin Núñez

  • Position: Forward
  • Cost: £7.1m
  • Projected Points: 4.6

Darwin Núñez, Liverpool's enigmatic striker, stands out as an intriguing differential option. Currently owned by just 2.4% of FPL managers, Núñez has delivered flashes of brilliance this season, with 2 goals and 1 assist in just 426 minutes of play.

Projected goals for Premier League teams in gameweek 12

Liverpool’s home fixture against Southampton in Gameweek 12 presents an ideal platform for Núñez to make an impact. According to the Predicted Points & Stats tool, Liverpool are joint top with Newcastle for projected goals this gameweek, with over two goals expected.

With his explosive potential and low ownership, Darwin Núñez could be a game-changing differential for savvy FPL managers. However, it’s worth considering the potential impact of Diogo Jota’s return from injury on Núñez’s minutes.

The Portuguese international is nearing full fitness, so it may be wise to wait for updates from Arne Slot in his press conference before making a final decision.

Lewis Hall

  • Position: Defender
  • Cost: £4.4m
  • Projected Points: 4.0

Lewis Hall has been a standout performer for Newcastle United this season. The young defender has amassed 32 points from 786 minutes across 11 games, delivering 3 clean sheets and 1 assist.

Lewis Hall attempted assists for the 2023/24 season

His attacking potential is clear, with 2 big chances created and 13 attempted assists—second only to Anthony Gordon (23) at Newcastle. The Opta Heatmaps tool further highlights Hall’s creativity, showcasing his ability to contribute in advanced areas.

At a budget-friendly price and with only 4.0% ownership, Hall is an enticing differential. Newcastle’s home fixture against West Ham United in Gameweek 12 offers the opportunity for returns at both ends of the pitch, making him a smart pick for savvy FPL managers.

Jurriën Timber

  • Position: Defender
  • Cost: £5.5m
  • Projected Points: 3.9

Jurriën Timber, Arsenal's versatile defender, completes our list of differentials. With Ben White sidelined by a medium-term injury, Timber presents an excellent route into Arsenal's defence.

Owned by just 1.4% of FPL managers, he has quietly accumulated 24 points from 686 minutes, delivering 2 clean sheets and 1 assist—showcasing his ability to contribute at both ends of the pitch.

Premier League projected clean sheets for the next three games

According to the Predicted Points & Stats tool, Arsenal are joint top with Liverpool for projected clean sheets (1.3) over the next three gameweeks, highlighting their defensive potential.

A home fixture against Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 12 provides Timber with a prime opportunity to shine and reward FPL managers who back him.

Conclusion: Dare to Differentiate

These five differentials offer a unique opportunity to gain an edge in your FPL mini-leagues for Gameweek 12. While they may not be the most obvious choices, their low ownership and potential for high returns make them exciting options for managers looking to make bold moves.

Remember, successful FPL management often involves taking calculated risks. These differentials could be the key to unlocking your team's potential and climbing up the ranks. So, why not dare to be different in Gameweek 12?


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