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FPL Gameweek 12: Who to Target?

FPL Who To Target
Fantasy Football Fix 11 Nov. 2024

Who To Target for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweek 12

Dive into our weekly analysis where we spotlight the top performers from the previous Gameweek, examine the latest FPL transfer trends, and reveal the must-have players to consider for your lineup this week.

Stay ahead of the competition in your Fantasy Premier League journey with our expert insights and strategic tips designed to boost your success!

Expected FPL Points Review - A Look at the Stats

As the below image shows, Salah tops the Custom Stats xFPL table for Gameweek 11 with a score of 11.5. The Egyptian international took three shots in the box, one of which was a 'big chance' and also created two 'big chances'.

Fantasy Premier League Stats Gameweek 11

B. Fernandes was the weekend's most creative player with seven attempted assists. The midfielder also scored from one of his two shots and notched an xFPL score of 7.3.

Haaland led the way for shots (seven), five of which were in the box, he was also top for 'big chances' (three). He landed three of his attempts on target and notched an xFPL score of 9.1

João Pedro reminded managers of his quality ahead of a kind run of fixtures for Brighton. The Brazilian international scored from one of his two shots in the box and notched an assist from his only chance created, leading to an xFPL score of 9.1. in just under 30 minutes.

Isak continued his good run of form with a goal and assist, the Swedish international took three shots in the box, two of which were classified as 'big chances' and also attempted three assists while registering an xFPl score of 7.6.

What is xFPL?

xFPL is calculated primarily using expected goals (xG), assists (xA), which combine as Fantasy Premier League (FPL) involvements (xG + xA = xI), as well as expected clean sheets (xCS). These numbers are a result of underlying statistics (i.e. shot type and location will give a probability of scoring = xG). xFPL is the combination of these statistics and factors in appearance and bonus points to give an overall expected FPL point score.

Early FPL Transfer Activity Analysed - Which Players are FPL managers buying and selling?

As the below image from our Transfer Analytics feature shows, Salah is the most popular transfer in for Gameweek 11 so far with nearly 200,000 FPL managers bringing him in at the time of writing.

Fantasy Premier Transfer Activity Gameweek 12

Wissa, B. Fernandes and Cunha all notched double figures in Gameweek 11 which has seen their popularity soar.

Haaland continues to be the most sold player for the second consecutive Gameweek with nearly 150,000 managers losing faith in the Norwegian international. Alexander-Arnold was withdrawn early due to an injury, which has seen the right-back suffer over 100,000 sales. While McNeil, Luis Díaz and Solanke all blanked or missed out entirely.

Top 10 forwards' FPL transfer combinations

A look at the Top 10 forward transfer combinations across FPL shows that Haaland is making way primarily for cheaper options, such as Cunha, Wissa and João Pedro, with Isak and N. Jackson also seeing transfers in. Calvert-Lewin, Solanke and Raúl are the other players making way for the aforementioned budget forwards.

The Top 10 midfielder transfer combinations is dominated by Salah and B. Fernandes who feature in seven combinations. McNeil, Foden, Son, Johnson and Rogers are the players making way for the more expensive duo.

In defence, all 10 of the transfers out involve either Alexander-Arnold or Lewis, there is a clear trend of FPL managers trying to free up funds with cheaper options such as Mazraoui, Hall and Aït-Nouri coming in.

Wissa vs Cunha - Best Budget Forward?

Fantasy Premier League Points Comparison Wissa vs Cunha

As the above image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, Wissa has scored just five FPL points (54) fewer than Cunha (59) over the first 11 Gameweeks, despite playing 319 minutes fewer due to injury.

Wissa vs Cunha - Stats Per 90

With such a discrepancy in minutes played, Average Stats per 90 are used instead of Total Stats, as shown in the image above.

Wissa averages a staggering 0.95 goals per 90 and 0.70 Expected Goals (xG), compared to 0.51 and 0.25 respectively for Cunha. However, when it comes to shot volume the Brazilian international is ahead with 3.24 shots and 2.23 shots in the box, compared to 2.37 and 2.05 for Wissa. However, Wissa lands a greater percentage of his attempts on target (1.42 vs 1.11).

When it comes to creativity, it is a non-contest with Cunha averaging 2.02 attempted assists and 0.42 'Expected Assists' (xA) to 0.63 and 0.05 for Wissa.

However, as the below image from our Fixture Difficulty Ratings shows, Wolves are rated top for 'Attack Difficulty' over the next six Gameweeks, which would tilt the scales in favour of Cunha with Brentford ranked ninth for the same.

Fixture Difficulty Rating Gameweek 12-17 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25


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