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Gameweek 13: Top 5 FPL Differentials

Fantasy Football Fix 28 Nov. 2024

GW13 FPL Differentials: Uncover 5 Low-Owned Gems

With Gameweek 13 on the horizon in Fantasy Premier League, are you ready to gain an edge over your mini-league rivals? We've got you covered!

Discover five standout differentials for GW13, each owned by under 10% of FPL managers. These overlooked players could be the secret to skyrocketing up the rankings and catching your competition off guard.

Selection Rules

Before we dive into our picks, here are the selection rules we followed:

  • 3 attackers (midfielders or forwards)
  • 2 defensive players (goalkeeper or defenders)
  • All players are currently under 10% owned

Now, let's explore these potential game-changers for your FPL team.


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Yoane Wissa (Brentford)

  • Position: Forward
  • Cost: £6.1m
  • Projected Points: 6.4

The Brentford forward has been in outstanding form this season, racking up six goals and two FPL assists. While his xG of 5.01 indicates some overperformance, his scoring rate appears sustainable.

Wissa shot map for the 2024/25 season

His clinical finishing stands out, converting 50% of his shots on target (10), as highlighted in the Opta Player Heatmaps tool. With 56 FPL points, he is the seventh highest-scoring forward, despite playing just nine games and 640 minutes.

Facing Leicester at home next, Wissa seems well-positioned to maintain his impressive goalscoring run.

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £6.4m
  • Projected Points: 4.7

Brighton's Kaoru Mitoma has been a steady performer this season, earning 47 FPL points from two goals and three assists. His xA of 2.56 highlights his solid chance creation, though his xG of 3.87 suggests he’s been unlucky not to score more.

Brighton FPL stats for the last 5 games

As shown in the Match Centre, the Japanese international has been a key contributor to Brighton’s goal threat and creative stats over the last five gameweeks.

With Brighton hosting Southampton next, Mitoma has an excellent opportunity to shine. Projected to score 4.7 points and owned by just 5.9% of managers, he is a standout differential in midfield.

Noni Madueke (Chelsea)

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £6.4m
  • Projected Points: 3.9

Chelsea's Noni Madueke has quietly delivered this season, scoring four goals and providing one assist in FPL. His underlying numbers, with an xG of 3.9 and an xA of 1.05, confirm his performances are well-earned.

Chelsea FPL stats

With 52 FPL points, only Palmer (86) and N. Jackson (72) have scored more for Chelsea, as highlighted in the Opta Stats Sandbox.

In Gameweek 13, Chelsea face a tricky away fixture against Aston Villa, but the Villans have conceded eight goals in their last three matches. With just 7.1% ownership and a proven knack for goal involvement, Madueke is a tempting differential, especially with a favourable Gameweek 14 fixture against Southampton on the horizon.

Pervis Estupiñán (Brighton)

  • Position: Defender
  • Cost: £5.0m
  • Projected Points: 4.3

Brighton's Pervis Estupiñán offers an intriguing differential option for Gameweek 13. Despite managing just eight points from 613 minutes this season, he has played the full 90 minutes in each of the last four matches, suggesting improved fitness and form. His underlying stats highlight his potential, with an xA of 0.88—the highest among Brighton defenders despite limited minutes—and two big chances created.

Premier League fixtures

Brighton host Southampton in Gameweek 13, a fixture that promises opportunities at both ends of the pitch. The Seagulls also top the Fixture Difficulty Rating for the next four gameweeks. With a projected score of 4.3 points and a remarkably low ownership of just 1%, Estupiñán could be the ultimate differential pick.

Murillo (Nottingham Forest)

  • Position: Defender
  • Cost: £4.6m
  • Projected Points: 4.1

Nottingham Forest's Murillo has been a standout in defence this season, delivering 45 FPL points from one goal and four clean sheets. At just £4.6m, he’s proving to be a fantastic budget option. The Tricky Trees have conceded only 13 goals this season—bettered only by Arsenal (12) and Liverpool (8), as highlighted in the Opta Stats Sandbox.

Premier League defensive stats

In Gameweek 13, Forest host Ipswich Town, a match that presents a strong chance for another clean sheet. With a projected score of 4.1 points and ownership of just 2.7%, Murillo is the perfect defensive differential for managers seeking value without sacrificing points potential.

FPL Differentials Conclusion

These five differentials offer a mix of attacking threat and defensive solidity, all while flying under the radar with less than 10% ownership. By incorporating one or more of these players into your FPL team, you could gain a significant advantage over your rivals in Gameweek 13 and beyond.


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