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FPL Gameweek 14: Top 5 Key Players

Fantasy Football Fix 2 Dec. 2024

Top Five Key Players for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweek 14

Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Gameweek 14! Each gameweek, we'll highlight top picks to help you make the best decisions for your FPL team. For each gameweek, we'll focus on the following categories:

  • 2 Attackers £8.5m or more
  • 2 Attackers under £8.5m
  • 1 Defender or Goalkeeper

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FPL Headliner: Cole Palmer (sou)

Palmer's goal against Villa was only his second over the last six Gameweeks, but the England international is still the fifth highest scoring midfielder over that period with 33 FPL points.

His total of 19 shots is only bettered by Garnacho, B. Fernandes (20 each), M. Salah (21) and Semenyo (22). While he is also fifth for 'Expected Goals' (xG) (2.72).

As the below image from our Transfer Analytics feature shows, he is currently the fifth most transferred-in player this Gameweek.

Most Transferred in players Gameweek 14 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Chelsea have scored 10 goals over the last six Gameweeks (eighth), but are ranked fourth for shots (91) and fourth for xG (10.89).

Their hosts Southampton have conceded 10 goals over the same period (12th), and have kept just one clean sheet. No team have allowed opponents more shots (113) over that period and the Saints are also bottom for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (15.31).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 7.2 for Palmer.

Top FPL Premium: Erling Haaland (NFO)

Haaland has scored only twice over the last six Gameweeks, but the underlying numbers indicate the turnaround could be coming soon.

No player has taken more shots in the box (28), landed more attempts on target (12) or been afforded more 'big chances' (12) than the Norwegian international over the aforementioned period.

As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 8.2 FPL points per game in home matches this season.

FPL Points Per Game in home matches for Haaland in Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Man. City have struggled to find the back of the net with only five goals over the last six Gameweeks (19th), but the reigning Champions are still ranked top for shots (109) and second for xG (13.30).

Their visitors Forest have conceded seven goals over the same period (sixth) and have kept three clean sheets. The Nottingham side are ranked eighth for shots in the box conceded (78) and top for xGC (5.06).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 8.0 for Haaland.

Form FPL Forward: N. Jackson (sou)

N. Jackson is thriving as Chelsea's first choice centre-forward with four goals over the last six Gameweeks.

As the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, The Senegalese international is top amongst Chelsea players for shots in the box (30), shots on target (20), 'big chances' (13) and xG (6.95) this season.

Stats for Chelsea Players Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Chelsea have scored 14 goals in away matches this season, more than any other side. The London side are ranked eighth for shots on target (28) and seventh for 'big chances' (17) in away matches.

Their hosts Southampton have conceded 11 goals at St. Mary's with only Brentford (12), West Ham (15) and Wolves (18) conceding more on home turf. The Saints are ranked bottom for shots conceded in home matches (117) and 19th for xGC (15.36).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 4.6 for N. Jackson.

Best Midfield Differential: Jarrod Bowen (lei)

Despite a poor season by his standards, Bowen has been West Ham's top scoring FPL asset (59 points) with three goals and four assists.

The England international is top amongst their players for shots (30) and shots on target (12) while only Antonio (five) has been afforded more 'big chances' than his four.

He is also their most creative player with 27 attempted assists and five 'big chances' created.

As the below image from our Fixture Difficulty Ratings shows, West Ham now embark on a great run of fixtures and Bowen will be key to turning their season around.

Fixture Difficulty Ratings Gameweek 14-19 for the 2024/25 season

West Ham have scored seven goals over the last six Gameweeks (12th) and are ranked 13th for shots on target (26).

Their opponents Leicester have conceded 15 goals over the same period (20th) and have kept no clean sheets. The Foxes are ranked 16th for shots conceded (91) and xGC (10.78).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 4.0 for Bowen.

Top FPL Defender: Alexander-Arnold (new)

Alexander-Arnold returned to the Liverpool starting lineup against Man. City, and was unlucky not to register any attacking returns.

Despite missing gametime through injury, the right-back is still the second most creative defender in the league with 22 attempted assists, only Davis (31) has attempted more.

Meanwhile, only Davis and Digne (eight each) have created more 'big chances' than his six.

Clean Sheet Probability Gameweek 14 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Liverpool have conceded six goals over the last six Gameweeks (second) and have kept two clean sheets. The Merseyside outfit are ranked fourth for shots in the box conceded (42) and xGC (8.02).

Newcastle have scored six goals over as many Gameweeks (16th) with only Man. City (five) and Everton (three) faring worse. The Magpies are ranked sixth for shots in the box (59) and 16th for xG (8.04).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a 30% chance of a Liverpool clean sheet and a point score of 3.9 for Alexander-Arnold.


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