Are you looking to gain an edge in your Fantasy Premier League (FPL) mini-leagues? Look no further!
We've identified five exciting differentials for Gameweek 16, all currently owned by less than 10% of managers. These hidden gems could be the key to climbing up the ranks.
Before we dive in, here are the selection rules we followed:
Let's explore these potential game-changers for your FPL team.
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Son Heung-min has delivered consistently this season, despite Tottenham's recent struggles. The South Korean star has scored an impressive 63 points in just 941 minutes across 12 games. With 4 goals and 4 assists, his underlying stats back up his performances. Son boasts an expected goals (xG) tally of 3.34 and an expected assists (xA) value of 5.25, confirming that his output is well in line with expectations.
In Gameweek 16, Tottenham host Southampton—a prime opportunity for Son to shine. The Saints have struggled defensively, conceding the most shots (279) and posting the highest expected goals conceded (xGC) at 38.52, as shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox. They've also managed just one clean sheet this season. Son is projected to score 5.3 points in this fixture and could be the differential pick that sets your FPL team apart.
Jadon Sancho looks to have reclaimed a spot in Chelsea’s starting XI, and with Neto suspended for Gameweek 16, the Predicted Lineup tool is highly confident in his chances of starting. However, selecting Sancho in FPL does carry significant risk.
Despite limited minutes (491), Sancho has accumulated 37 points this season, contributing 2 goals and 4 assists. His 0.33 assists per game is second only to Palmer (0.40) among Chelsea players, highlighting his potential for FPL returns when given sufficient playing time.
In Gameweek 16, Chelsea host Brentford, with Sancho projected to score 5.0 points. While he remains a high-risk pick, his potential for returns makes him an intriguing differential option for adventurous FPL managers.
ustin Kluivert has been a standout performer for Bournemouth this season. The Dutch midfielder has scored 62 points in 905 minutes across 15 games, contributing 5 goals and 2 assists.
While Semenyo is owned by 11.5% of FPL managers in the top 1 million compared to Kluivert’s 4.7%, Kluivert could offer better value. He’s £0.2m cheaper, on penalty duties, and, as shown by the Opta Heatmaps comparison, outperforms his teammate in several stats per 90 minutes.
However, one slight drawback is Kluivert’s tendency to be substituted around the 65–75-minute mark, whereas Semenyo is more likely to play the full 90 minutes.
In Gameweek 16, Bournemouth host West Ham United, and Kluivert is projected to score 4.8 points. He could prove to be a fantastic value pick for your FPL team.
Lewis Hall might not stand out as an obvious differential pick, but he has been a reliable performer for Newcastle United this season. The young defender has logged 1,139 minutes across 15 games, earning 37 points with 1 assist and 3 clean sheets. While his attacking returns have been modest, his expected assists (2.04) suggest he has potential for more offensive contributions.
With Rico Lewis being widely sold due to suspension and Manchester City’s inconsistent defensive form, Hall has become the third most popular replacement, as highlighted by the Transfer Analytics tool.
Newcastle host Leicester City in Gameweek 16, with Hall projected to score 3.9 points. His budget-friendly price and potential for both attacking and defensive returns make him an appealing differential option for FPL managers looking for value.
Milos Kerkez has been a standout in Bournemouth’s defence this season. The Hungarian full-back has accumulated 48 points across 15 games, contributing 1 goal, 2 assists, and 2 clean sheets. His expected assists (2.53) underline the legitimacy of his attacking contributions.
Bournemouth rank just behind Arsenal for defensive fixture difficulty over the next five games. Upcoming home fixtures against West Ham, Crystal Palace, and Everton provide solid opportunities for clean sheets.
In Gameweek 16, Bournemouth host West Ham United, with Kerkez projected to score 3.9 points. He could be an excellent value pick, offering potential returns at both ends of the pitch.
These five players offer exciting differential options for Gameweek 16 and beyond. While they all come with some level of risk due to their low ownership, they also present opportunities to gain an edge over your FPL rivals.
Remember, successful FPL management often involves calculated risks. These differentials could be the key to unlocking your team's potential and climbing up the rankings. Consider their fixtures, form, and underlying statistics when making your decisions, and may your arrows be green
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