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FPL Gameweek 18: Top 3 Captaincy Picks

FPL Top Captains
Fantasy Football Fix 25 Dec. 2024

Top 3 Captaincy Picks for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweek 18

Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Gameweek 18! Each gameweek, we'll highlight the top captaincy picks for your FPL team.

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 18 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix. 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%.
  3. Differential option. Under 20%.

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FPL Gameweek 18: The Best Captain Choices

Mohamed Salah (LEI) - Highest Projected Point Scorer

Salah has found the back of the net five times at Anfield this season, only Palmer (six) and Mbeumo (eight) have been more prolific amongst midfielders in home matches.

His total of 23 shots in the box is only bettered by Semenyo (27) and Saka (28), while only Mitoma (seven) has had more 'big chances' than his six.

Meanwhile, no player has notched more assists in home matches than his five.

Player Point Projections for Gameweek 18 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Liverpool have scored 15 goals at Anfield this season with only Man. City (16), Arsenal (17), Spurs (23) and Brentford (26) faring better in home matches. Their total of 29 'big chances' is only bettered by Arsenal (30) and Brentford (32).

Their visitors Leicester have conceded 37 goals, with only Wolves (40) more porous this season. No team have allowed opponents more shots in the box (224) than the Foxes, who are also ranked 18th for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (37.00).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 9.8 for Salah.

Cole Palmer (FUL) - Highly Projected Points Alternative

Palmer has scored six goals at Stamford Bridge this season and is top for shots on target (15) amongst midfielders in home matches. His total of 4.12 xG is only bettered by Salah (4.63).

He is also second for chances created in home matches (25), while only Son (seven) and Saka (13) have created more 'big chances' than his six.

As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 8.5 FPL points per game in home matches this season.

gw18top5palmer

Chelsea have scored 37 goals this season, with only Spurs (39) finding the back of the net more often. The Blues (55) trail only Arsenal (57) and Liverpool (70) for 'big chances' and are ranked second for 'Expected Goals' (xG) (37.63).

Their local rivals Fulham have conceded 22 goals (eighth) and have kept three clean sheets. The Cottagers are ranked eighth for shots conceded (199) and fourth for xGC (20.60).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 7.3 for Palmer.

Martin Ødegaard (IPS) - The Differential

Ødegaard will be looking to step up for Arsenal in Saka's absence, as the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows,the Norwegian international is second only to Saka (42) for chances created amongst Arsenal players (24).

He has scored only one goal, but has taken 10 shots in the box and been afforded four 'big chances'.

Stats for Arsenal midfielders Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Arsenal have scored 17 goals at the Emirates this season, with only Spurs (23) and Brentford (26) more prolific on home turf. The Gunners are ranked second for both shots (149) and 'big chances' (30).

Their opponents Ipswich have conceded 32 goals (16th) and are ranked 19th for xGC (39.06). Leicester (22) and Wolves (20) are the only sides to concede more goals in away matches than the Tractor Boys (16).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 5.5 for Ødegaard.


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