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FPL Gameweek 20: Top 3 Captaincy Picks

FPL Top Captains
Fantasy Football Fix 3 Jan. 2025

Top 3 Captaincy Picks for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweek 20

Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Gameweek 20! Each gameweek, we'll highlight the top captaincy picks for your FPL team.

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 20 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix. 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%.
  3. Differential option. Under 20%.

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FPL Gameweek 20: The Best Captain Choices

Mohamed Salah (MUN) - Highest Projected Point Scorer

Salah has found the back of the net six times at Anfield this season, only Palmer (seven) and Mbeumo (nine) have been more prolific on home turf amongst midfielders.

Meanwhile, only Semenyo (32) has taken more shots in the box in home matches than the Egyptian international (28) while no midfielder has notched a higher 'Expected Goals' tally (5.03).

Player Point Projections for Gameweek 20 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Liverpool have scored 18 goals at home this season, with only Spurs (25) and Brentford (27) faring better. No team have landed more shots on target (62) in matches than the Merseyside outfit.

Their opponents, Man. United, have conceded 10 goals in away matches (second) and have kept three clean sheets. The Red Devils are ranked second for shots conceded (94) and sixth for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (14.24) on their travels.

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 8.6 for Salah.

Erling Haaland (WHU) - Highly Projected Points Alternative

Haaland has scored seven goals at the Etihad Stadium this season, with no forward notching more in home matches.

As the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, no player across the league has managed more shots (43), shots on target (23), 'big chances' (14) or xG (8.39) in home matches.

Stats for Players in Home Matches Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Man. City have scored 17 goals in home matches (fifth), no team have taken more shots (181) or registered a higher xG (20.62) than the Manchester side at home.

Their visitors West Ham have conceded 13 goals in away matches (ninth) and have kept three clean sheets. However, the Hammers are ranked 17th for shots conceded (158) on their travels.

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 8.0 for Haaland.

Ollie Watkins (LEI) - The Differential

Watkins total of six goals at home is only eclipsed by Haaland (seven). The England international is second for shots on target (19), 'big chances' (12) and xG (7.90) on home turf amongst all players.

As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 5.8 FPL points per game in home matches this season.

Points Per game for Watkins in Home Matches

Villa have scored 17 goals at home this season (fifth), with only Liverpool (112) and Arsenal (123) attempting more shots in the box than their 111. The Midlands side are ranked second for xG (20.55) in home matches.

Their opponents Leicester have conceded 25 goals in away matches (20th) and have not kept a clean sheet. Meanwhile, only Brentford (206) have allowed opponents more shots in away matches than the Foxes (175).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 7.0 for Watkins.


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