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Gameweek 21: Top 5 FPL Differentials

FPL Top 5 Differentials
Fantasy Football Fix 13 Jan. 2025

Gameweek 21: 5 FPL Differentials to Boost Your Rank

Looking to make gains in Fantasy Premier League this week? We've highlighted five under-the-radar picks for Gameweek 21 — each with ownership under 10%. These overlooked assets could be the difference-makers you need to leap ahead of your mini-league rivals.

Before we dive into the list, here’s a quick breakdown of our criteria:

  • 3 attacking options (midfielders or forwards)
  • 2 defensive picks (goalkeeper or defenders)
  • All players selected have less than 10% ownership

Ready to discover the hidden gems that could transform your team’s fortunes? Let’s get started!


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Bruno Fernandes

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £8.3m
  • Projected points: 5.0

Bruno Fernandes has been a reliable performer for Manchester United this season, delivering consistent FPL returns despite the team’s fluctuating form.

The Portuguese playmaker has scored 4 goals and provided 7 assists, accumulating 88 points so far. His expected goals (xG) of 6.44 suggests he’s been a bit unlucky in front of goal, hinting at further potential for attacking returns.

Man United vs Southampton stats

A closer look at Fernandes' last five league appearances through the Match Centre highlights his importance to the team. He ranks second for goals (1) but leads in several key metrics, including xG (1.9), shots on target (5), and attempted assists (12). He’s also joint top for FPL assists (1) during this period.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 21, Fernandes will be a key player to watch as Manchester United host Southampton. With a projected score of 5.0 points, he stands out as our top differential pick for the week and could be pivotal in securing a strong haul.

Eberechi Eze

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £6.6m
  • Projected points: 4.7

Eberechi Eze has gradually rediscovered his form after a slow start to the season, becoming a key creative force for Crystal Palace.

With 2 goals and 3 assists, his tally of 59 FPL points doesn't reflect his underlying numbers. His xG of 5.33 and xA of 3.12 suggest he’s been unlucky not to deliver more attacking returns.

Premier League teams ranked by defensive stats

In Gameweek 21, Eze travels to face Leicester City, a side struggling defensively. According to Opta Stats Sandbox tool, the Foxes have managed just 1 clean sheet this season — the fewest in the league — and only Wolves (45) have conceded more goals than their 44.

With a projected score of 4.7 points, Eze presents an enticing differential option, particularly for managers looking to capitalise on Leicester’s defensive frailties.

Jacob Murphy

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £5.1m
  • Projected points: 4.7

Newcastle's Murphy has been a surprise package this season. With 3 goals and 7 assists, he's accumulated an impressive 69 points. His xG of 3.03 and xA of 3.95 indicate his performances have been no fluke.

Murphy faces Wolves at home in Gameweek 21, a fixture that could see him continue his fine form. With a projected 4.7 points and a budget-friendly price, he's an excellent differential option.

Lisandro Martínez

  • Position: Defender
  • Cost: £4.4m
  • Projected points: 4.1

With Diogo Dalot suspended following his red card in Manchester United's FA Cup clash with Arsenal, Lisandro Martínez stands out as the next best option in defence for attacking threat — although it remains limited.

Martinez shotmap

The Argentine international has registered 11 shots in the box this season, the most of any Manchester United defender, according to his Opta Shotmap. Interestingly, that's one more than Marcus Rashford (10), however the England international has played 509 fewer minutes.

Manchester United host Southampton in Gameweek 21, a favourable fixture that boosts Martínez's chances of adding to his clean sheet tally. With a projected score of 4.1 points, Martínez could be a standout defensive differential for the week.

Daniel Muñoz

  • Position: Defender
  • Cost: £4.7m
  • Projected points: 4.2

Another week, another differential recommendation for Crystal Palace's Muñoz. With 2 goals, 2 assists, and 4 clean sheets, he's racked up 61 points. However, his xG of 3.75 suggests he's been a genuine attacking threat from defence and offers great potential for FPL managers.

FPL team reveal defence

He's currently in 35.7% of our Elite XI: Team Reveal managers' teams, who have 83 top-10k finishes between them, including Paul Marshman, who is currently ranked in the top 40k.

Muñoz faces Leicester City away in Gameweek 21, a fixture that could yield returns at both ends of the pitch. With a projected 4.2 points and a budget-friendly price, he's an intriguing differential option.

Conclusion

These five differentials offer a mix of attacking potential and defensive stability, all while flying under the radar of most FPL managers. By incorporating one or more of these players into your squad, you could gain a significant advantage in Gameweek 21 and beyond.

Remember, in FPL, it's often the less obvious choices that make the biggest difference. So, why not take a calculated risk and bring in one of these differentials? It could be the move that sets your team apart from the crowd.


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