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FPL Gameweek 23: Top 3 Captaincy Picks

FPL Top Captains
Fantasy Football Fix 24 Jan. 2025

Top 3 Captaincy Picks for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweek 23

Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Gameweek 23! Each gameweek, we'll highlight the top captaincy picks for your FPL team.

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 23 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix. 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%.
  3. Differential option. Under 20%.

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FPL Gameweek 23: The Best Captain Choices

Mohamed Salah (IPS) - Highest Projected Point Scorer

Salah has netted seven goals in home matches this season, with only Palmer (eight) and Mbeumo (nine) scoring more among midfielders.

Additionally, only Semenyo (34) has taken more shots in the box than Salah's 31 in home games, while only B. Fernandes (eight) has created more 'big chances' than Salah's seven.

Player Point Projections for Gameweek 23

Liverpool top the league for goals scored (50), shots in the box (279), 'big chances' (92) and 'Expected Goals' (xG) (55.66) this season.

Their visitors Ipswich have conceded 19 goals in away matches (15th) and have kept just one clean sheet. Meanwhile, only Southampton (28.00) have a worse 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) tally than the Tractor Boys (24.21) on their travels.

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 10.8 for Salah.

Alexander Isak (sou) - Highly Projected Points Alternative

Haaland (17) is the only forward to score more goals than Isak (15) this campaign, as the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, the Swedish international is third for shots on target (28) and 'big chances' (21) amongst forwards.

Stats for Forwards Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Newcastle have scored 38 goals this campaign (seventh) and are ranked seventh for xG (39.29).

Southampton have conceded 27 goals in home matches this season, more than any other side. No team have allowed opponents more shots in the box (140) or registered a worse xGC (31.73) on home turf.

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 5.8 for Isak.

Ollie Watkins (WHU) - The Differential

Since his return to Villa's starting lineup in Gameweek 19, Watkins has scored 30 FPL points (three goals, one assist) with only Mateta (31), Isak (32) and Wood (41) faring better amongst forwards.

He is ranked fifth for shots (13) and third for 'big chances' (five) over the aforementioned period.

As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 6.0 FPL points per game in home matches this season.

Points Per game for Watkins in Home Matches

Villa have scored 19 goals in their 11 home matches (seventh) and are ranked sixth for both 'big chances' (33) and xG (22.16) on home turf.

Their visitors West Ham have conceded 17 goals on their travels (13th) and have kept three clean sheets. The Hammers are ranked 15th for shots in the box conceded (118) and ninth for xGC (17.94) in away matches.

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 5.8 for Watkins.


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