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FPL Gameweek 23: Top 5 Key Players

FPL Top 5 Players
Fantasy Football Fix 23 Jan. 2025

Top Five Key Players for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweek 23

Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Gameweek 23! Each gameweek, we'll highlight top picks to help you make the best decisions for your FPL team. For each gameweek, we'll focus on the following categories:

  • 2 Attackers £8.5m or more
  • 2 Attackers under £8.5m
  • 1 Defender or Goalkeeper

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FPL Headliner: Mohamed Salah (IPS)

Salah may have failed to score in his last two league matches, but his underlying stats remain impressive. Over the last six Gameweeks, he’s second only to Phil Foden (6) for goals scored among midfielders, with 5 to his name.

Across all positions, no player has attempted more shots in the box (30) or registered a higher expected goals (xG) tally (6.02) than the Egyptian international. Salah’s form and consistency make him a standout option despite the recent goal drought.

As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 8.7 FPL points per game in home matches this season.

FPL Points Per Game in home matches for Salah in Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Liverpool have scored 19 goals over the last six Gameweeks with no side faring better. The Merseyside outfit are also top for shots (144), 'big chances' (31) and xG (20.83).

Their visitors Ipswich have conceded 15 goals over the same period, with only Spurs (16) more porous. The promoted side are ranked 18th for shots in the box conceded (70) and 17th for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (12.53).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 10.8 for Salah.

Top FPL Forward: Alexander Isak (sou)

Isak has scored eight goals over the last six Gameweeks, with no player in the league scoring more.

As the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, the Swedish international is top amongst forwards for 'big chances' (nine) over that period, while only Haaland (4.56) and Wissa (5.08) have registered a higher xG than his 4.44.

Stats for Forwards Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Newcastle have scored 15 goals over the last six Gameweeks, with only Man. City (16) and Liverpool (19) more prolific. The Magpies trail only Liverpool for 'big chances' (31 vs 21) and xG (20.83 vs 12.88) over that period.

Their hosts Southampton have conceded 14 goals over the same period (16th) and have kept just one clean sheet. The Saints are ranked 19th for shots in the box conceded (108) and bottom for xGC (18.33).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 5.8 for Isak.

Best Midfielder Differential: Kaoru Mitoma (EVE)

Mitoma scored and assisted against Man. Utd. over the weekend. As the below image from our Match Centre feature shows, over Brighton's last five league matches he is top amongst their players for goals (two) and chances created (seven), while he is also third for xG (1.0) and shots on target (three).

Stats for Brighton players last five league matches

Brighton have scored nine goals over the last six Gameweeks (eighth) and are ranked 10th for shots in the box (52).

Everton have conceded seven goals over the aforementioned period (seventh) and have kept just one clean sheet. The Toffees are ranked 15th for both shots conceded (88) and xGC (11.80).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 3.9 for Mitoma.

Best Forward Differential: Jean-Philippe Mateta (BRE)

Mateta's brace against West Ham made it four goals in the last six Gameweeks for the French international, only Isak (eight) has been more prolific amongst forwards over that period.

As the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, he has taken 15 shots (eighth) but is fourth for xG (3.77) and 'big chances' (six) amongst forwards.

Stats for Forwards Expected Goals Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Palace have scored eight goals over the last six Gameweeks (11th) and are ranked ninth for xG (10.68).

Their visitors Brentford have conceded nine goals over the same period (12th) and have kept two clean sheets. No team have allowed opponents more shots than the Bees (114) over that timeframe.

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 4.9 for Mateta.

Top Defensive Asset: Trent Alexander-Arnold (IPS)

Alexander-Arnold's assist against Brentford was his second over the last six Gameweeks, only Robinson (three) has fared better amongst defenders.

The England international is top for shots (12), chances created (16), big chances created (five) and 'Expected Assists' (xA) (2.48) over that period.

Clean Sheet Probability Gameweek 23 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Liverpool have conceded seven goals over the last six Gameweeks (seventh) and have kept two clean sheets. Arsenal (33) are the only side to have restricted opponents to fewer shots in the box than the Merseyside outfit (35).

Their visitors Ipswich have scored just four goals over the same period, with only Leicester (two) faring worse. The Tractor Boys are bottom for shots in the box (29), 'big chances' (six) and xG (5.11).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a 60% chance of a Liverpool clean sheet and a point score of 6.1 for Alexander-Arnold.


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