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FPL Double Gameweek 25: Top 5 Key Players

FPL Top 5 Players
Fantasy Football Fix 13 Feb. 2025

Top Five Key Players for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Double Gameweek 25

Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Double Gameweek 25!

Each gameweek, we'll highlight top picks to help you make the best decisions for your FPL team. For each gameweek, we'll focus on the following categories:

  • 2 Attackers £8.5m or more
  • 2 Attackers under £8.5m
  • 1 Defender or Goalkeeper

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FPL Headliner: Mohamed Salah (WOL/avl)

Salah's brace against Bournemouth made it five goals over the last six Gameweeks for the Egyptian international, no midfielder has attempted more shots in the box (23) or been afforded more 'big chances' (seven) over that period.

As the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, the 32-year-old is also top for attempted assists (20), 'big chances' created (six) and 'Expected Assists' (xA) (3.97).

Creativity Stats for Midfielders Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Liverpool have scored 16 goals over the last six Gameweeks, only Man. City (18) have been more prolific. The Merseyside outfit are top for shots on target (47), 'big chances' (28) and 'Expected Goals' (xG) (17.91).

Their first opponents, Wolves, have conceded 12 goals over the last six Gameweeks (15th) and have kept just one clean sheet. The Midlands side are ranked ninth for shots in the box conceded (54) and 13th for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (10.37).

Their second opponents Villa have conceded eight goals over the same period (sixth) and have also kept just one clean sheet. The Villains are ranked fourth for shots in the box conceded (43) and ninth for xGC (9.35).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 16.9 for Salah.

Top FPL Forward: Ollie Watkins (IPS/LIV)

Caveat: Watkins is currently flagged as a doubt for Gameweek 25 but is expected to be available as per Emery's last press conference

Watkins is Villa's top scorer this season with 10 goals, he is top amongst their players for shots in the box (56), 'big chances' (24) and xG (13.03) by a significant margin.

He is also joint-top for FPL assists (five) while only Digne (29), Rogers (30) and Tielemans (43) have attempted more assists than his 20.

As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 5.4 FPL points per game in home matches this season.

FPL Points Per Game in home matches for Watkins in Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Villa have scored eight goals over the last six Gameweeks (12th) and are ranked 10th for shots (76).

Their first visitors Ipswich have conceded 16 goals over the same period, with only Southampton (17) more porous. The Tractor Boys are ranked 17th for shots in the box conceded (64) and 15th for xGC (10.90).

Their second visitors Liverpool have conceded four goals over the aforementioned period (first) and have kept three clean sheets. The Merseyside outfit are ranked second for shots in the box conceded (37) and xGC (5.73).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 9.7 for Watkins.

Top Differential Pick: Dango Ouattara (sou)

O. Dango's total of four goals over the last six Gameweeks is only bettered by Salah, Kluivert (five each) and Foden (six) amongst midfielders.

As the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, no midfielder has been afforded more 'big chances' (seven) over that period, while only Mbeumo (4.11) and Salah (4.68) beat him for xG (3.35).

Stats for Midfielders Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Bournemouth have scored 14 goals over the last six Gameweeks (fourth) and are ranked fifth for 'big chances' (20). The Cherries (12.53) trail only Brentford (12.98) and Liverpool (17.91) for xG.

Their opponents Southampton have conceded 17 goals over the same period, more than any other side. The Saints are 19th for shots in the box conceded (73) and bottom for xGC (19.82).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 3.9 for O. Dango.

Best Budget Midfielder: Morgan Rogers (IPS/LIV)

Rogers has notched seven FPL returns in home matches this season (three goals, four FPL assists) with only Watkins (nine) faring better (six goals, three FPL assists) for Villa.

He trails only Watkins (56) and Duran (25) for shots in the box (24) amongst Villa players and is also third for 'big chances' (six) and xG (4.17).

As the below image from our Transfer Analytics feature shows, he is currently the fourth most transferred in player this Gameweek.

Most Transferred in players Gameweek 25 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Villa have scored 20 goals in home matches this season (eighth) and are ranked seventh for xG (23.05) on home turf.

Their first opponents Ipswich have conceded 23 goals in away matches this season (15th), and have kept just one clean sheet on their travels. The Promoted side are ranked 14th for shots in the box conceded (179) and 18th for xGC (26.17) in away matches.

Their second opponents Liverpool have conceded 12 goals on their travels (second) and have kept six clean sheets. The Reds are top for shots in the box conceded (67) and xGC (14.37) in away matches.

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 7.1 for Rogers.

Top Defensive Asset: Virgil Van Dijk(WOL/avl)

Van Dijk has found the back of the net in league matches just once this season, but the underlying numbers are promising. He has attempted 15 shots in the box (eighth) is ranked fifth for 'big chances' amongst defenders (four).

Clean Sheet Probability Gameweek 25 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Liverpool have conceded 21 goals this season, fewer than any other side and are also joint-top for clean sheets (10). The Merseyside outfit are top for shots in the box conceded (140) and second for xGC (25.78).

Their first opponents Wolves have scored just five goals over the same period, with only Leicester (three) faring worse. The Midlands side are ranked 19th for shots in the box (38) and 13th for xG (8.67).

Their second opponents Villa have scored eight goals over the last six Gameweeks (12th) and are ranked 17th for 'big chances' (10).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects an 80% chance of at least one Liverpool clean sheet and a point score of 7.3 for Van Dijk.


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