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FPL Gameweeks 4-7: Top 5 Key Players

The Editor 6 Sept. 2024

Top Five Key Players for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweeks 4-7

There are four Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Gameweeks until the next international break and in this blog, the key players to own for that period are identified. The picks are in the following format

  • 2 Attackers £8.5m or more
  • 2 Attackers under £8.5m
  • 1 Defender or Goalkeeper


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Erling Haaland - BRE (H), ARS (H), NEW (A), FUL (H)

With seven goals across the opening three Gameweeks, Haaland has looked lethal after a full Summer off.

As the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, no forward has taken more shots (14), landed more attempted on target (10) or been afforded more 'big chances' (seven) than the Norwegian international.

Stats for Forwards Gameweek 1-3 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

In fact, the only team to score more goals than Haaland are Man. City (nine) with no other team finding the net more than seven times thus far.

The reigning Champions trail only Liverpool (16) for 'big chances' and are third for shots on target (18). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 27.5 for Haaland over the next four Gameweeks.

Mohamed Salah - NFO (H), BOU (H), WOL (A), CPL (A)

Salah has matched Haaland for FPL points (41) over the opening three Gameweeks with three goals and as many assists. He is the highest projected scoring midfielder over the next four Gameweeks, while only Semenyo (11) has taken more shots in the box amongst midfielders than his 10. He is also top for 'big chances' (five) and 'big chances' created (four).

As the below image from our Player Points Projections feature shows, he is the top projected scorer over the next four Gameweeks.

Player Point Projections for Gameweek 4-7 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Liverpool have scored seven goals so far (seventh) and are joint-top for shots (48). No side has fashioned more 'big chances' (16) or registered a higher 'Expected Goals' (xG) tally than the Merseyside outfit.

The Captaincy in Gameweek 5 is a huge part of Salah's appeal as Haaland faces Arsenal that week. Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 29.2 for Salah over the next four Gameweeks.

Eberechi Eze - LEI (H), MUN (H), EVE (A), LIV (H)

Eze finally delivered on his excellent underlying numbers with a goal at Stamford Bridge in Gameweek 3, only Semenyo (17) has taken more shots amongst midfielders than the England international (15). He is also fourth for shots on target (five) while no Palace player has created more chances than his five.

As the below image from our Match Centre feature shows, over Palace's last five matches he is top amongst their players for goals (four) and shots on target (10), while he is second for xG (1.4) and attempted assists (eight).

Stats for Palace Players over last five matches

Palace have scored only two goals, but they have had some tough away trips so far to Brentford and Chelsea. Three of the next four matches for Palace are at Selhurst Park, where they scored 37 goals last season (eighth). The immediate fixture against Leicester is a great entry point, with the Foxes ranked 11th for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (4.60) and yet to keep a clean sheet. Their subsequent opponents Man. Utd (4.29) and Everton (7.15) are ranked ninth and 20th for xGC as well.

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 21.8 for Eze over the next four Gameweeks.

Kai Havertz - TOT (A), MCI (A), LEI (H), SOU (H)

Havertz has racked up 22 FPL points over the opening three Gameweeks with two goals and an assist, only Welbeck (23) and Haaland (41) have fared better amongst forwards.

Despite playing a large part of the Gameweek 3 fixture against Brighton with 10 men, his underlying numbers are decent with the German international ranked fourth for shots in the box (seven) and xG (1.83). He is also ranked second for attempted assists (four).

Fixture Difficulty Ratings Gameweek 4-7 for the 2024/25 season

Arsenal have scored five goals so far, and the aforementioned red card for Rice against Brighton must be kept in mind while reading their numbers. The Gunners are ranked fifth for shots on target (17) and sixth for 'big chances' (nine).

Their upcoming fixture against Spurs is typically high-scoring. While the Gameweek 5 match away to Man City is a concern, as shown by our Fixture Difficulty Ratings, the fact that Arsenal faces two promoted sides, Leicester and Southampton, in consecutive Gameweeks makes Havertz a solid pick for the next four Gameweeks.

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 22.1 for Havertz over the next four Gameweeks.

Trent Alexander-Arnold - NFO (H), BOU (H), WOL (A), CPL (A)

Alexander-Arnold is thriving under new manager Slot and has been unlucky not to register any FPL attacking returns so far. No defender has attempted more assists (seven) or created more 'big chances' (three) than the right-back and he is also top for 'Expected Assists' (xA) (1.74).

Clean Sheet Projections Gameweek 4-7 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Liverpool look defensively solid under their new manager and are yet to concede a goal. As the above image from our Player Points Projections feature shows, only Arsenal (1.8) are projected to keep more clean sheets than Liverpool (1.6) over the next four Gameweeks.

This is backed by their underlying numbers, only Man. City (13) and Forest (12) have allowed opponents fewer shots in the box than Liverpool (14). The Merseyside outfit are ranked top for xGC (2.10).

The immediate fixture against Forest is a great entry point, only Palace (20), Everton (18) and Sheff. Utd. (16) scored fewer goals on their travels last season than Forest (22). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 18.9 for Alexander-Arnold over the next four Gameweeks.


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