As the 2024/25 Premier League season gains momentum after the transfer window closes and the first international break, Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers must plan ahead, especially if using the Wildcard.
In this post, we highlight the top teams with the most favourable fixtures to target from Gameweeks 4 to 7, helping you maximise your FPL points before the next international break in Gameweek 8.
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As the above image from our Fixture Difficulty Ratings shows, Brighton, Villa and Arsenal are the top three teams in terms of Fixture Difficulty over the next three Gameweeks. They are followed by West Ham, Brentford, Bournemouth, Liverpool and Chelsea.
However, a closer look at the fixtures would indicate that Brighton, Arsenal, West Ham and Brentford really just have two good fixtures apiece with a couple of difficult games thrown in.
As the above image from our Player Points Projections feature shows, Man. City are projected to score the most goals over the next four gameweeks followed by Arsenal, Chelsea, Villa, Brighton and Liverpool.
Man. City did not make the top eight for Fixture Difficulty over the first four Gameweeks and hence the focus will be on the other five teams which appear in both aforementioned images - Arsenal, Chelsea, Villa, Brighton and Liverpool
The Gunners have proven to be a reliable source of FPL points at both ends of the pitch and were by far the best defence in the league last season with 18 clean sheets.
Three of last season's top scoring defensive assets White (188), Saliba (166) and Gabriel (156) all look like good long term picks while Raya provides one of the cheapest entry points at just 5.5m.
In attack, Saka and Havertz appear to be the best assets with the pair managing 24 and 22 FPL points respectively.
As the above image from our Player Heatmaps feature shows, Saka has outperformed Havertz for every attacking metric including shots (10 vs eight), shots in the box (nine vs seven) and attempted assists (eight vs four). However, there is a 2m price difference between the two which must be considered as well.
Chelsea have had a mixed start to the season with a loss, win and a draw in their opening three matches. They have scored seven goals but six of these came in the fixture against Wolves in Gameweek 2.
The Blues kept just eight clean sheets last season under Pochettino and are yet to record a shutout in the 2024/25 season. As the below image from our Predicted Lineups feature shows, rotation amongst their backline is also a concern with only Sanchez (88%) and Colwill (90%) given a greater than 80% chance of starting.
In attack, Palmer is still the jewel in the crown with the England international top amongst Chelsea players for attempted assists (11) and 'big chances' created (four). He is also joint-top for shots alongside Madueke (nine).
N. Jackson could be an interesting pick, no Chelsea player has recorded a higher 'Expected Goals' (xG) tally than the Senegalese international (2.08).
Villa are yet to keep a clean sheet in the opening three Gameweeks of the 2024/25 season and managed just eight the previous campaign.
Martinez, Konsa and Pau appear to be the most nailed options with Digne facing competition from Maatsen at left-back. Cash is currently injured with Bogdan deputising in their last fixture.
Watkins is undoubtedly their talisman with 19 goals and 17 assists last season but the forward has yet to find the back of the net in the 2024/25 season. As the Stats Sandbox image below shows, he is top amongst their players for xG (1.66) but has only landed two attempts on target.
Bailey's injury comes as a blow with Duran and Rogers (five) second for shots. Tielemans has been their most creative player with six attempted assists but in terms of 'Expected Assists' (xA), budget midfielder Rogers is on top (1.02) as he has created two 'big chances'.
The Seagulls have started strong under new manager Hurzler and are undefeated over the opening three matches. The next two fixtures in particular against Ipswich and Forest at the Amex look great for returns at both ends of the pitch.
In defence, Dunk has been given more of a creative license and is second for attempted assists (four) amongst their players. Estupiñan has seen limited minutes due to injury but is one to monitor.
In attack, Mitoma, Minteh, Welbeck and João Pedro have all notched FPL attacking returns over the opening three matches with the forwards bagging two goals each.
Minteh is top amongst their players for attempted assists (five) and 'Expected Assists' (xA) (1.06) while Mitoma is top for xG (1.34).
As the Stats Sandbox image above shows, João Pedro has scored two goals from just three shots in the box while Welbeck has had six in comparison.
With seven goals scored and zero conceded, Liverpool have started brilliantly under new manager Slot and now have two home games against Forest and Bournemouth to further build on.
Robertson, Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk and Alisson have started all of the opening games and are likely to do so going forward.
No defender has created more chances (seven) than Alexander-Arnold so far but as the below image from our Player Heatmaps feature shows, Robertson is also a good pick with the Scotland international managing two shots in the box and five attempted assists so far.
In attack, Salah is the obvious pick with the Egyptian international top amongst all midfielders for 'big chances' (five). Díaz looks like the better pick over Jota with 2.34 xG compared to 1.67 for the Portuguese international.
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