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FPL Gameweek 5 Deadline Report

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Fantasy Football Fix AI 22 Sept. 2024

Post-Deadline Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 5 Analysis: Top Managers' Strategies Revealed

As the dust settles on the Gameweek 5 deadline, Fantasy Premier League managers are eagerly anticipating the weekend's action. Let's delve into the data to uncover the key trends and strategies employed by top managers as we compare different rank tiers.


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Captaincy Choices: Salah vs Haaland Debate Intensifies

The captaincy battle between Mohamed Salah and Erling Haaland continues to dominate FPL discussions. Let's examine how managers across different rank tiers have approached this crucial decision:

PlayerTop 10kTop 100kTop 1MOverall
M.Salah49.0%46.4%40.4%30.4%
Haaland40.4%42.6%47.3%37.8%
Watkins4.3%4.1%4.7%5.7%
Luis Díaz2.2%2.1%2.3%2.7%
Palmer1.4%1.8%1.7%4.8%
Diogo J.0.5%0.4%0.6%-
Son0.5%0.3%0.5%1.2%
Alexander-Arnold0.4%0.5%0.4%-
Solanke0.2%0.3%0.4%-
Vardy0.2%-0.3%-
Saka-0.2%-1.4%
Isak---2.4%
Havertz---1.1%
B.Fernandes---1.1%

The captaincy data reveals a fascinating split between top managers and the overall player base. Mohamed Salah, facing Bournemouth at home, is the preferred choice among the high ranked manager, with 49.0% of the top 10k backing the Egyptian. However, Erling Haaland, despite a tougher fixture against Arsenal, remains the most popular captain overall with 37.8% of the armband.

Interestingly, the preference for Salah decreases as we move down the rank tiers, while Haaland's popularity increases. This suggests that top managers are placing more faith in Liverpool's home fixture against Bournemouth, while the majority of players are sticking with the explosive potential of Haaland, regardless of the opposition.

Ollie Watkins emerges as the third most popular captain across all tiers, with a consistent 4-5% backing. The Aston Villa striker faces Wolves at home, a fixture that has caught the eye of many managers looking for a differential captain.

Chelsea's Cole Palmer has seen a surprising surge in captaincy, particularly among the overall player base (4.8%). This could be due to his attractive away fixture against West Ham, although top managers seem more cautious with only 1.4-1.8% opting for the young midfielder.

Chip Usage: Early Season Strategy Differences

The use of chips can provide a significant advantage in FPL. Let's examine how managers across different rank tiers are deploying their chips in Gameweek 5:

ChipTop 10kTop 100kTop 1MOverall
Wildcard3.1%2.4%2.7%3.1%
Free Hit2.4%1.5%1.1%0.7%
Bench Boost0.7%0.5%0.8%0.6%
Triple Captain0.3%0.2%0.2%0.5%

The data reveals some interesting trends in chip usage across rank tiers. The Wildcard chip is the most popular choice this week, with a consistent 2.4-3.1% usage across all tiers. This suggests that some managers are taking the opportunity to restructure their teams early in the season, possibly to capitalise on price changes or to adapt to emerging trends.

Interestingly, the Free Hit chip is being used more frequently by top managers (2.4% in the top 10k) compared to the overall player base (0.7%). This could indicate that elite managers are more willing to use this chip strategically in single gameweeks, rather than saving it exclusively for blank or double gameweeks.

Bench Boost and Triple Captain usage remains low across all tiers, which is expected this early in the season. Managers typically prefer to save these chips for double gameweeks later in the season when they can maximize their potential.

Transfer Stats and Finances: Balancing Act

Understanding how managers are approaching transfers and managing their team value provides insight into overall strategy. Let's compare the transfer and financial statistics across rank tiers:

StatisticTop 10kTop 100kTop 1MOverall
Avg. Transfers0.80.90.90.8
Avg. Points Hit0.30.40.41.2
Avg. Team Value100.4100.3100.199.4
Avg. Bank0.60.60.60.8

The transfer data shows that top managers are slightly more conservative with their transfers, averaging 0.8 transfers in the top 10k compared to 0.9 in lower tiers. This suggests a more patient approach among elite managers, possibly waiting for more information before making moves.

Points hits are more common in the overall player base (1.2 on average) compared to top managers (0.3-0.4). This indicates that casual players are more willing to take risks with additional transfers, while top managers are more cautious about preserving their points.

Team value is highest among top managers (100.4 in the top 10k), gradually decreasing in lower rank tiers. This suggests that managers are more adept at capitalising on price rises and avoiding price falls, building team value early in the season.

Interestingly, the average bank (money left unspent) is higher in the overall player base (0.8) compared to top managers (0.6). This could indicate that top managers are more willing to invest their full budget to maximize their team's potential, while casual players might be holding onto funds for future transfers.

Conclusion

As we head into Gameweek 5, the data reveals clear differences in strategy between top managers and the overall player base. The Salah vs Haaland captaincy debate continues to be a key talking point, with top managers favouring Salah while the majority back Haaland despite his tougher fixture.

Chip usage remains relatively low, with the Wildcard being the most popular choice across all rank tiers. Top managers are showing a greater willingness to use the Free Hit chip strategically, even in single gameweeks.

Transfer and financial data indicate a more patient and value-conscious approach from top managers, with fewer hits taken and higher team values achieved. As the season progresses, it will be fascinating to see how these strategies evolve and impact overall rankings.

With crucial fixtures like Manchester City vs Arsenal and Chelsea vs West Ham on the horizon, Gameweek 5 promises to be another exciting round of Premier League action. FPL managers will be eagerly watching to see if their carefully crafted strategies pay off in the race for points and ranks.

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