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FPL Gameweek 7: Top 5 Key Players

Fantasy Football Fix 3 Oct. 2024

Top Five Key Players for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweek 7

Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Gameweek 7! Each gameweek, we'll highlight top picks to help you make the best decisions for your FPL team. For each gameweek, we'll focus on the following categories:

  • 2 Attackers £8.5m or more
  • 2 Attackers under £8.5m
  • 1 Defender or Goalkeeper


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FPL Headliner: Erling Haaland (FUL)

Haaland blanked for the first time this season but still took five shots, no player has attempted more (31) than the Norwegian international this season while he is also top for shots on target (21) and 'big chances' (10). As the below image from our Fixture Difficulty Ratings feature shows, Man. City are ranked fourth for 'Attack Difficulty' over the next four Gameweeks.

Fixture Difficulty Ratings Gameweek 7-10 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Man. City have scored 14 goals with only Chelsea (15) more prolific. The reigning Champions are top for shots (115) and third for 'Expected Goals' (xG) (13.20).

Their visitors Fulham have started the season well and have conceded just five goals in the opening six matches with one clean sheet. The Cottagers are ranked seventh for shots conceded (72). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 8.3 for Haaland.

Top FPL Premium: Cole Palmer (NFO)

Palmer's 25 point haul against Brighton took him top for FPL points amongst midfielders (61), the England international is third for shots (18), 'big chances' (six) and xG (3.15). As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 11.0 FPL points per game in home matches this season.

FPL Points Per Game in home matches for Palmer in Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Chelsea have scored more goals (15) than any other team in the league while only Villa (22), Arsenal (23), Liverpool (24) and Spurs (25) have crafted more 'big chances' than their 21.

Their opponents Forest suffered their first loss of the season against Fulham and have been tight at the back this season with only five goals conceded and two clean sheets. However, they have had a favourable fixture run thus far and the visit to Stamford Bridge is likely to be their sternest test yet. The Nottingham side are ranked fifth for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (6.73). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 6.7 for Palmer.

Form FPL Forward: Kai Havertz (SOU)

Havertz' goal against PSG midweek made it six consecutive games at the Emirates where the German international has found the back of the net. Haaland (29) and Jackson (17) are the only forwards to have attempted more shots in the box than his 16 while only Jackson, Solanke (eight each), Haaland and Watkins (10 each) have been afforded more 'big chances' than his seven. As the below image from our Match Centre feature shows, he is top amongst Arsenal players over the last five games for xG (3.4) and shots on target (seven).

Arsenal last five Matches Stats Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Arsenal have found the back of the net 12 times this season (third) while only Liverpool (24) and Spurs (25) have created more 'big chances' than their 23. The Gunners are ranked fourth for xG (12.48).

Their visitors Southampton have conceded 12 goals (17th) and have kept no clean sheets. The South Cost side are ranked 15th for shots in the box conceded (60) and 14th for xGC (11.35). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 7.1 for Havertz.

Best Budget Midfielder: Brennan Johnson (bha)

Johnson's goal against Man. Utd. was the Welsh international's second of the campaign, as the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, only M. Salah (19) have taken more shots in the box than his 18 while only Garnacho (five), Palmer (six), Salah and Diaz (seven each) have been afforded more 'big chances' than his four.

Stats for Midfielders Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Spurs' three goals against Man. Utd. took them to third (12) in the goal scoring charts, no side has created more 'big chances' (25) than the Lilywhites and they are also top for xG (14.11).

Their hosts Brighton were fortunate to concede just four goals against Chelsea as the Blues profited from the Seagulls' high line. The Seagulls have conceded eight goals so far (ninth) and are also ranked ninth for xGC (9.20). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a point score of 3.4 for Johnson.

Top FPL Defender: Gabriel Magalhães (SOU)

Gabriel was denied a third goal of the season by an excellent save from Hermansen, no defender has been afforded more 'big chances' (four) this season than the centre-back and he is also top for xG (1.79).

Clean Sheet Probability Gameweek 7 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Arsenal have conceded just five goals (second) with only Liverpool (two) more frugal. However, due to the Gunners playing two games largely with 10 men, they are ranked 17th for shots in the box conceded (58) and seventh for xGC (7.90).

Their visitors Southampton have been the lowest scoring team in the division with just three goals. The Saints are ranked seventh for shots (68) and ninth for xG (8.31). Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a 60% chance of an Arsenal clean sheet and a point score of 5.7 for Gabriel.


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