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FPL Gameweek 35: Chelsea & Spurs Analysed

Fantasy Football Fix 24 April 2024

Chelsea and Spurs now have two Doubles in the next four Gameweeks and could be popular for managers using their Wildcard chips. In this blog, the best Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets from those two teams across all positions are compared.


Eight Elite Managers have played their Wildcard chips! Between them, they have a staggering 48 top 10k finishes in Fantasy Premier League. Check out their Wildcard drafts by clicking here now!


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As the above image shows, sorted by xFPL, from our Opta Stats Sandbox tool, over the last eight Gameweeks Palmer is in a league of his own. He is top for 'Expected Goals' (xG) (5.86), shots (34), shots on target (SoT) (19) and 'big chances' (BC) (eight). However, it is interesting to note that he is only fourth for xG (no pen), with Johnson (3.56), Werner (3.31) and N. Jackson (2.91) all ahead of him (2.82).

What is xFPL?

xFPL is calculated primarily using expected goals (xG), assists (xA), which combine as Fantasy Premier League (FPL) involvements (xG + xA = xI), as well as expected clean sheets (xCS). These numbers are a result of underlying statistics (i.e. shot type and location will give a probability of scoring = xG). xFPL is the combination of these statistics and factors in appearance and bonus points to give an overall expected FPL point score.

Midfield/Forward options

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As the above image from our Fix Comparison Matrix feature shows, over the last eight Gameweeks the Spurs midfielders have seen plenty of rotation. With B. Johnson (508) and Werner (447) sharing minutes, while Son (592) and Maddison (530) have been hauled off early. N. Jackson has played 626 of a possible 630 minutes and appears to be one of the most secure picks in the Chelsea attack. Palmer is not included as he is almost an autopick.

When it comes to FPL points, Son (44) is top, with Maddison's 23 points in seven matches being quite disappointing. N. Jackson (36) is top for goals (three) and SoT (10) but has missed all five of his BC.

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Both Son and Palmer feature in all of our Elite XI: Team Reveal managers' current Wildcard drafts.

Amongst the Spurs players, Son looks like the clear pick with three goals and as many assists in seven appearances. The South Korean international tops the comparison for shots (19), attempted assists (14) and BC created (four). For the second Spurs attacker, it is close between B. Johnson and Werner. The former is classified as a midfielder and has notched more goal involvements (two goals, four assists) than Werner (two goals, two assists) but the German international has taken more shots (12 vs 17). However, both have registered the same number of BC (six) and creatively the former Forest man has the edge (with 11 attempted assists vs nine).

Depending on where FPL managers have a vacancy, either attacker looks like a reasonable option for their two doubles. Maddison's two SoT and three BC involvements across seven appearances is rather off-putting.

The Defence

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As the above image from our Opta Stats Sandbox feature shows, Romero (630) and Udogie (630) are the only two defenders from the aforementioned teams to have played every minute of the last eight Gameweeks. But the latter has now been ruled out for the remainder of the season. Romero, has taken two shots but in terms of goal threat, Disasi (six), leads the way with Porro (five) close behind. The right-back could be available for Gameweek 35 after an early substitution against Newcastle and looks like the standout defensive option from the two sides. Van De Ven also looks secure for gametime, but has taken just one shot across his five appearances.

Gusto has created 13 chances across his five appearances and is top for 'Expected Assists' (xA) (1.04) amongst the defensive options. He has also taken two shots in the box (SiB). However, as it stands, the right-back is currently a doubt for Gameweek 35. Amongst the other Chelsea defensive options, Cucurella (539) and Disasi (525) have played the most minutes and can also be considered if Gusto is unavailable.

What do the Projections Say?

Midfield

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As the above image from Our Predicted Points & Stats tool shows, Palmer (28.3) is projected to be the top scoring midfielder for the remaining four Gameweeks, with Son (27.6) close behind. Despite poor underlying numbers, Maddison (22.8) is in sixth with B. Johnson (18.9) in 12th. Gallagher (19.4) also features favourably in ninth but has poor underlying numbers.

Forwards

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N. Jackson (23.3) and Werner (22.1) are projected to be the third and fourth top scoring forwards for the remainder of the season, with the duo both ahead of Watkins (20.3) and Højlund (18.8). For managers already tripled up on Chelsea assets, moving for Werner appears to be a reasonable option.

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