As the 2024/25 Fantasy Premier League season heats up, managers face a crucial decision: stick with the previously prolific Erling Haaland or pivot to the ever-consistent Mohamed Salah?
Let's dive into the stats, recent form, and upcoming fixtures to help you make an informed choice.
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We'll use the Fix Comparison Matrix tool to closely examine the stats of two premium FPL players, comparing their performances to see who has been the standout player so far this season.
Both players have been regular starters for their respective teams. Haaland has clocked 809 minutes, while Salah is just behind with 786 minutes played. This minimal difference suggests both are clearly integral to their clubs and are unlikely to miss out on many minutes.
Haaland leads the scoring charts with an impressive 11 goals, surpassing his expected goals (xG) of 9 (7.73 excluding penalties). Salah, playing a wider role, has scored 6 times, outperforming his xG of 5 (3.84 excluding penalties). Additionally, 40% of Salah’s goals have come from 2 penalties, while Haaland has scored just 1 penalty this season.
Salah shines in the creative department, registering 5 FPL assists compared to Haaland's 0. The Egyptian also boasts higher expected assists (3 vs 1) and has created more big chances (5 vs 1). This underlines Salah's dual threat as both scorer and provider.
Despite Haaland's goal-scoring prowess, Salah leads in total FPL points (84 vs 75) and expected FPL points (73 vs 69). This highlights Salah's all-round contribution and bonus point potential.
Salah's consistent point-scoring has made him a standout FPL asset, averaging 9.3 points per game, as shown in the Opta Heatmaps tool. His contributions in both goals and assists provide a steady stream of points, making him a reliable choice for managers.
Salah has only 'blanked' twice this season, scoring 2 points against Forest and 3 against Palace. The Egyptian King has delivered six 10-point hauls in his nine games so far this season.
In contrast, Haaland has seen a slight dip in form over the last four gameweeks, as indicated by the Opta Heatmaps tool. While still a potent threat, his recent performances haven’t delivered the explosive returns FPL managers expect, prompting some to consider alternatives.
The Norwegian has registered three 10-point hauls this season, which underscores the advantage Salah and other midfielders have: they earn an extra point for each goal scored and another for clean sheets, giving them additional paths to higher scores.
Let's examine their projected points using the Predicted Points & Stats tool for the next four gameweeks to assess captaincy potential:
Salah edges it here, facing a potentially open Brighton side at home.
Another win for Salah, with a another home fixture.
Haaland takes this round, with a potentially high-scoring home game against Spurs. However, many managers might prefer Salah against a struggling Southampton.
A tough week for both as their teams play each other, with Salah slightly favoured in this top-of-the-table clash.
While Haaland's goal-scoring potential remains unmatched, Salah's consistency and all-round contributions make him an equally appealing option. The Egyptian's superior creativity and bonus point potential have translated into higher FPL returns thus far.
Fixture-wise, Salah appears to have a slight edge in the immediate future.
A balanced approach might be to retain both if possible, allowing flexibility in captaincy choices based on form and fixtures. If budget constraints force a choice, Salah's consistency and upcoming fixtures make him a tempting option.
Ultimately, the decision may come down to your overall team structure and risk appetite. Whichever way you lean, both Haaland and Salah remain premium assets capable of delivering substantial FPL returns.
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