Rodrigo Muniz has become a major concern for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers. Priced at £6.1m, the Fulham forward has failed to register an attacking return in the first four gameweeks of the 2024/25 season.
With just 7 points and not starting in the last game against West Ham, it's time for owners to consider alternatives. Let's explore four potential replacements, all priced at £6.0m or less.
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At the time of writing, over 50,000 FPL managers have transferred out the Brazilian, making him the ninth most transferred-out player. It's worth noting that four of the eight players ahead of him are currently flagged as potentially unavailable.
The top 10 forward transfer combinations from the Transfer Analytics tool shows that FPL managers are transferring out Alexander Isak and João Pedro, both of whom are currently flagged. Isak, the Newcastle forward, left the game against Wolves at halftime with an eye injury, while Pedro, the Brighton forward, did not feature at all in Gameweek 4 against Ipswich.
Popular replacements for Muniz so far include Calvert-Lewin (£5.9m), Vardy (£5.6m), Wissa (£6.1m), who is currently flagged as potentially unavailable, and Watkins (£8.9m).
Danny Welbeck, priced at £5.7m, has caught the eye of many FPL managers, boasting a significant 17.8% ownership.
The Brighton forward has started the 2024/25 season in excellent form. With 25 points from the first four gameweeks, averaging 6.3 points per game (as shown in the Opta Heatmaps tool), Welbeck has proven to be a reliable asset. He's scored 2 goals and provided 1 FPL assist, highlighting his ability to contribute both as a scorer and a creator.
Welbeck's underlying statistics are equally impressive. With an xG of 1.29 and 10 total shots (4 on target), he's consistently getting into dangerous positions. His 4 attempted assists further highlight his all-round attacking threat.
Brighton's next five fixtures look promising for Welbeck: Nottingham Forest (H), Chelsea (A), Tottenham (H), Newcastle (A), and Wolves (H). The home games against Nottingham Forest and Wolves could be especially productive for the English forward.
At £5.9m, Dominic Calvert-Lewin represents excellent value, yet is currently owned by only 2.3% of managers.
Calvert-Lewin has made a strong start to the season, accumulating 22 points in the first four gameweeks. With 2 goals and 1 FPL assist, he's proving to be a potent attacking force for Everton.
The Everton striker's underlying stats are particularly encouraging. An xG of 1.32 and xA of 0.36 suggest his returns are sustainable. With 6 total shots (2 on target) and a big chance created, Calvert-Lewin is showing signs of his best form shown in previous seasons.
Among all the budget forwards in our comparison, the Everton forward ranks highest for predicted points in the Predicted Points & Stats tool for the upcoming gameweeks. This is largely due to Everton's favourable fixtures: Leicester (A), Crystal Palace (H), Newcastle (H), Ipswich (A), and Fulham (H). The home matches against Crystal Palace and Fulham could be particularly rewarding for Calvert-Lewin owners.
At £5.6m, Jamie Vardy offers a budget-friendly option with a 7.7% ownership.
Vardy has made a solid start to the season with 19 points from the first four gameweeks. His 2 goals demonstrate that he still knows where the back of the net is.
With 3 shots on target from 3 total shots, Vardy's efficiency is clear. His xG of 0.74 suggests he's overperforming slightly, but his track record suggests he can maintain this form.
As shown in the Fixture Planner tool, Leicester's upcoming fixtures are promising: Everton (H), Arsenal (A), Bournemouth (H), Southampton (A), and Nottingham Forest (H).
Among all the budget forwards in our comparison, Vardy and Leicester have the best run of upcoming fixtures. The home matches against Everton, Bournemouth, and Nottingham Forest could be especially productive for Vardy.
Priced at just £5.5m, Jørgen Strand Larsen is an intriguing budget option, currently owned by only 0.9% of managers.
Strand Larsen has made a promising start to the season, accumulating 15 points in the first four gameweeks. With 1 goal and 1 FPL assist, he's showing his potential as both a scorer and creator.
The Norwegian forward's underlying statistics are highly encouraging. With an xG of 1.1 and an impressive xA of 1.06, Strand Larsen is not only getting into good scoring positions but also creating chances for his teammates. His 5 total shots (3 on target) and 2 big chances created highlight his all-around attacking threat. No other budget forward in our comparison has created more big chances (2), as shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox.
Wolves' upcoming fixtures are a mixed bag: Aston Villa (A), Liverpool (H), Brentford (A), Manchester City (H), and Brighton (A). While some matches are tough, the away game against Brentford could offer an opportunity for Strand Larsen to shine. However, as shown in the Fixture Planner tool, Wolves rank at the bottom for attacking difficulty over the next five gameweeks.
At £5.9m, Francisco Evanilson is currently a differential pick, owned by just 0.3% of managers.
Evanilson has had a slow start to the season with only 4 points from the three games he has featured in. However, his underlying stats suggest that goals could be on the horizon.
Despite not scoring yet, Evanilson's xG of 1.88 is the highest among our featured players. With 7 total shots (3 on target), he's getting into good positions and could be due for a breakout performance soon.
Managers might consider Antoine Semenyo (£5.6m) a better value option. The midfielder's per 90 minutes stats, compared to Evanilson, as shown in the Opta Heatmaps tool, are impressive. However, this is based on a small sample size, and Evanilson is still adjusting to a new setup with his new team.
Bournemouth's next five fixtures are mixed: Liverpool (A), Southampton (H), Leicester (A), Arsenal (H), and Aston Villa (A). The home game against Southampton could be a good opportunity for Evanilson to open his account.
While Rodrigo Muniz has disappointed so far this season, there are several exciting budget-friendly options to consider. Danny Welbeck and Dominic Calvert-Lewin offer consistent returns and favourable fixtures. Jamie Vardy brings his proven goal-scoring record to the table, while Jørgen Strand Larsen and Francisco Evanilson present intriguing differential options with promising underlying stats.
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