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Haaland vs Salah: FPL's Premium Predicament

Fantasy Football Fix 13 Aug. 2024

Haaland or Salah? Who's best for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

As the new Fantasy Premier League (FPL) season approaches, managers face a perennial dilemma: Erling Haaland or Mohamed Salah?

Both players are premium assets, but fitting them into the same team can leave managers struggling to build a balanced squad. Let's dive into the data and compare these FPL giants across various metrics.


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FPL Premium Powerhouses

Erling Haaland comes with a hefty price tag of £15.0 million, making him the most expensive player ever in the game. Mohamed Salah, while slightly cheaper at £12.5 million, still commands a significant portion of your budget. The £2.5 million difference could be crucial in upgrading other positions, but is it worth sacrificing either of these point machines?

The Popularity Contest

Haaland currently boasts a higher ownership at 44.9%, making him the second most owned forward, as shown in the Future Planner tool below.

Top three most owned forward in Fantasy Premier League

Whereas, Salah is nearly 10% at 35.2%.

Top three owned midfielders in Fantasy Premier League

This difference suggests that more managers are leaning towards the Norwegian goal machine. However, both players' ownership could increase towards the Gameweek 1 deadline as more managers submit teams.

2023/24 Stats: A Tale of Two Premiums

Looking at the previous season's performance, both players showcased their immense value, as shown below in the Fix Comparison Matrix tool:

Salah and Haaland stats for the 2023/24 season

While Haaland edges out Salah in total points and goals, the Egyptian king proves his worth with more assists. The marginal difference in their overall points (just 6) highlights how close these two are in terms of FPL output.

Fixture Analysis: The First Five Gameweeks

Let's examine their fixtures for the opening five gameweeks using the Fixture Analyser tool:

Liverpool and Man City fixtures for the first five Gameweeks

At first glance, Salah appears to have the more favourable run, with three home fixtures against potentially easier opposition. Haaland, however, faces tougher tests with matches against Chelsea and Arsenal.

Projected Points: Who comes out on top?

Projections, in the Predicted Points & Stats tool, for the first five gameweeks offer interesting insights:

Haaland and Salah projected points for the first 5 gameweeks

Surprisingly, despite the perceived tougher fixtures, Haaland is projected to score only slightly fewer points than Salah over this period. The standout gameweek is Gameweek 2, where Haaland is expected to haul against Ipswich.

The Balancing Act: Can You Have Both?

While it's tempting to include both Haaland and Salah in your team, doing so requires careful consideration. With a combined cost of £27.5 million – over a quarter of your total budget – fitting both players could leave you with limited funds for the rest of your squad.

Managers opting for this strategy might find themselves relying on budget options in other positions, potentially sacrificing overall team balance. Researching the best Haaland or Salah drafts might be advisable. However, the explosive potential of these two players could outweigh the risks if they hit form simultaneously.


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