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FPL GW10: Top 5 Differentials to Boost Your Team

Fantasy Football Fix 2 Nov. 2024

FPL Tips Gameweek 10: Top 5 Differentials

As we approach Gameweek 10 in the Fantasy Premier League, it's time to consider some differential picks that could give your team the edge. We've identified five players, all currently owned by less than 10% of managers, who could make a significant impact this week.

Selection Rules

Before we dive into the players, here are the selection rules we've followed:

  • 3 attackers (midfielders or forwards)
  • 2 defensive players (goalkeeper or defenders)
  • All players are currently under 10% owned

Now, let's explore these potential game-changers for your FPL team.


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Son Heung-min

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £9.9m
  • Projected points: 5.6

Son Heung-min has been a reliable asset for Tottenham this season, racking up 41 points in just 6 games (519 minutes). With 3 goals and 2 assists, Son’s attacking threat is clear. His expected goals (xG) of 1.38 and expected assists (xA) of 2.06 suggest there could be more to come, especially given his tendency to outperform xG data.

Son FPL stats for the 2024/25 season at home

Though it’s still early in the season, Son has averaged an impressive 9 FPL points per game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, as highlighted in the Opta Heatmaps tool.

However, managers should watch for updates from Tottenham’s press conferences. Manager Ange Postecoglou recently commented, “Sonny is almost fit, but from our perspective, we'll aim for the weekend, and we’re quite confident he'll be ready.” If fit, Son could be an excellent differential against Aston Villa at home.

Alex Iwobi

  • Position: Midfielder
  • Cost: £5.5m
  • Projected points: 4.3

Alex Iwobi has quietly impressed for Fulham this season, earning 40 points over 9 games (769 minutes) with 2 goals and 1 assist—offering excellent value at just £5.5m. His expected goals (xG) of 1.55 and expected assists (xA) of 2.42 suggest he’s been a bit unlucky not to secure more returns.

Fulham stats for the last 5 games

In his last 5 games, Iwobi ranks highly among Fulham players: joint second for goals (1), fifth for xG (1.0), third for shots on target (3), joint top for assists (1), and second for attempted assists (9), as shown in the Match Stats tool. This data highlights his increasing importance to Fulham’s attack.

Fulham face Brentford at home in Gameweek 10, a team yet to keep a clean sheet this season—a promising fixture for Iwobi to continue his good form. With 4 big chances created already, he’s a creative force in Fulham’s midfield and could be a smart differential pick.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

  • Position: Forward
  • Cost: £6.0m
  • Projected points: 4.8

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been a frustrating pick for FPL managers recently, but Gameweek 10 may be his chance to recapture early-season form. With 31 points across 9 games (767 minutes), including 2 goals and 1 assist, Calvert-Lewin’s underlying stats are promising. His expected goals (xG) of 3.36 indicate he’s been a bit unlucky not to score more.

Calvert-Lewin shot map for the 2024/25 season

No Everton player has taken more shots than Calvert-Lewin this season (21), with 20 coming from inside the box, as highlighted in his Opta shotmap.

Everton’s upcoming home fixture against Southampton in Gameweek 10 could offer Calvert-Lewin a solid opportunity to return to the scoresheet and reward the 5.3% of managers who have kept their faith in him.

Caoimhin Kelleher

  • Position: Goalkeeper
  • Cost: £4.4m
  • Projected points: 4.8

With Alisson Becker sidelined by a hamstring injury until after the international break, Caoimhin Kelleher emerges as an intriguing short-term pick for FPL managers. In his 3 appearances this season—against Bournemouth, Chelsea, and Arsenal—Kelleher has managed 1 clean sheet, conceded only 3 goals, and accumulated 12 points.

Premier League clean sheet probabilities

Liverpool host Brighton in Gameweek 10, a match that offers Kelleher a strong chance to boost his clean sheet tally. Liverpool currently have the highest clean sheet probability (40%) and lead projections for clean sheets over the next three gameweeks, according to the Predicted Points & Stats tool.

Priced at £4.4m, he could serve as an excellent budget-friendly second goalkeeper or a short-term option for managers looking to free up funds elsewhere.

Vitaliy Mykolenko

  • Position: Defender
  • Cost: £4.3m
  • Projected points: 3.7

Vitaliy Mykolenko has been a steady presence in Everton's defence this season. Although his 14 points from 7 games (566 minutes) might not immediately stand out, his upcoming fixtures offer potential for returns, as highlighted in the Team & Players to Target article.

Everton’s defensive form has been on the rise, and a home match against Southampton in Gameweek 10 could present Mykolenko with a clean sheet opportunity. Priced at just £4.3m and owned by only 4.2% of managers, he’s a budget-friendly differential who could help free up funds for premium options elsewhere.

Conclusion

These five differentials offer a mix of attacking potential and defensive stability, all while being owned by less than 10% of FPL managers. Whether you're looking to climb the ranks or maintain your position, these players could provide the edge you need in Gameweek 10.

Good luck in Gameweek 10, managers!


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