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Gameweek 11: Top Three FPL Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 3 Nov. 2023

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Gameweek 11 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

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Erling Haaland (BOU)

Haaland's brace against Man. Utd. made it 11 goals in 10 games for the Norwegian international this season, he is now three goals in the Golden Boot race and is on top of all the attacking metrics - shots (39), shots on target (SoT), shots in the box (SiB) (37), 'big chances' (18) and 'Expected Goals' (xG) (10.27). Man. City have scored 22 goals this season (sixth) and are third for xG (20.93). Their visitors Bournemouth have conceded 21 goals with only Burnley (25) and Sheff. Utd. (29) more porous. The Cherries are ranked 18th for xGC (22.86) and 19th for SiB conceded (123). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 8.9 for Haaland.

gw11top5haal

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Mohamed Salah (lut)

The joint-top scorer in midfield with eight goals, Salah (24) trails only Rashford (26) for SiB and is top for BC (nine) and xG (7.06). His creativity numbers are excellent as well, only Saka, Diaby (five each) and Maddison (six) and Neto (seven) have registered more FPL assists than his four while no midfielder has created more BC (nine). As the below image from our Price Predictor shows, he has risen by £0.1m overnight to £12.9m. Liverpool have found the back of the net 23 times this campaign, only Newcastle and Villa (26 each) have been more prolific. The Merseyside outfit are top for xG (23.21). Their hosts Luton have conceded 20 goals thus far (17th) and are ranked 19th for xGC (23.07). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 7.3 for Salah.

gw11capssalah

Moussa Diaby (not)

Diaby took his goal tally to three with his strike against Luton, he also notched an assist taking him upto seven FPL returns (three goals, four FPL assists) for the season. He has taken 22 shots, landed nine on target and as the Stats Sandbox image below shows, only Salah (4.74) has registered a higher 'Expected Assists' tally than his 4.27. Villa have been the league's top scorers with 26 goals, they are ranked fifth for SoT (60) and eighth for BC (28). Their hosts Forest have conceded 15 goals and have kept just two clean sheets. The Nottingham side are ranked 12th for shots conceded (138) and 10th for xGC (15.35). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 4.0 for Diaby.

gw11capsdiaby

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