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Gameweek 21: Top Three FPL Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 12 Jan. 2024

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Gameweek 19 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Bukayo Saka (CPL)

Saka has scored five goals at the Emirates this season with only Hee Chan, D. Luiz (six each) and Salah (11) scoring more in home matches amongst midfielders. Meanwhile, only Salah beats him for shots in the box (SiB) (23 vs 32) and 'Expected Goals' (xG) (4.33 vs 9.64). He has also notched four assists with no midfielder creating more chances (31) in home matches. He trails only Son (4.21) and Salah (5.40) for 'Expected Assists' (xA) (3.89) in home matches. Arsenal have scored 22 goals at home this season (fifth) and are third for both SiB (125) and xG (22.96). Their visitors Palace have conceded 15 goals on their travels (sixth) and are ranked 10th for 'Expected Goals Conceded' (xGC) (17.77) in away matches. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.1 for Saka.

gw21capssaka

Cole Palmer (FUL)

Chelsea's top scorer with eight goals this season, as the Stats Sandbox image below shows Palmer trails only Jackson for shots (38 vs 45), 'big chances' (BC) (eight vs 19) and xG (10.61 vs 6.59) amongst their players. He is their top chance creator with 27 chances created and seven 'big chances' (BC) created. Chelsea have scored 17 goals at home (ninth), the London side are ranked third for BC (35) and fourth for xG (22.89) on home turf. Their derby rivals Fulham have conceded 23 goals on their travels with only Sheff. Utd. (25) conceding more. They are ranked 16th for SiB conceded (16th) in away matches with only Luton (26.18) faring worse for xGC (23.21). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.0 for Fulham.

gw21capspalmer

João Pedro (WOL)

Pedro has stepped up for Brighton in Mitoma's absence, as the below image from our Match Stats feature shows the 22-year-old is top amongst their players over their last five league matches for goals (two), xG (2.6) and SoT (seven) while he is second for assists (one). Brighton have scored 22 goals at home (fifth) and are are second for SoT (75) on home turf. Their visitors Wolves have conceded 17 goals on their travels and ranked 11th for both shots conceded (142) and xGC (18.24) in away matches. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 3.4 for Pedro.

gw21capsjoao

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