Erling Haaland in for Julián Álvarez - Haaland (Man City, £14.1m) has seen a surge in transfers after his return for Man City against Burnley. He only managed a 1 point cameo, but with a fixture against Brentford in Gameweek 23, his projected points stand at 6.1. - Álvarez (Man City, £6.9m) has been transferred out by many despite scoring 3 goals and earning 22 points in his last three appearances. His xFPL of 20.27 indicates he's performing as expected. However, with Haaland back in contention, Álvarez's minutes could be at risk.
Anthony Gordon in for Jarrod Bowen - Gordon (Newcastle, £6.2m) is being brought in after securing 13 points in his last three games, with 1 goal and 1 assist. His xFPL of 12.02 suggests his returns have been justified and is performing inline with his expected data. Newcastle face Luton at home in Gameweek 23, where Gordon is projected to score 5.3 points. - Bowen (West Ham, £8.0m) has been less impressive, with only 6 points, but with an xFPL of 10.7 in his last three matches. With tough fixtures ahead, including an away game against Man Utd, top managers are moving away from Bowen.
Kevin De Bruyne in for Jarrod Bowen - De Bruyne (Man City, £10.7m) has been a popular choice, amassing 19 points and 2 assists in the last three games. His xFPL of 12.24 indicates he's slightly underperforming, suggesting room for improvement. With a home fixture against Everton in Gameweek 24, De Bruyne is expected to score 4.6 points. - Bowen is facing the same outflow as mentioned above, with managers looking for more consistent performers in midfield.
Erling Haaland in for Darwin Núñez - Haaland's potential for high returns is leading managers to select him over Núñez (Liverpool, £7.5m), who has a foot injury with a 75% chance of playing. Núñez has scored 18 points with 2 goals in his last three games, but his xFPL of 27.35 indicates he is underperforming compared to his expected data. Liverpool's next fixture is a challenging away game against Arsenal.
Erling Haaland in for Ollie Watkins - Watkins (Aston Villa, £8.8m) has been on the move out of teams despite scoring 16 points with 1 goal and 2 assists in his last three games. His xFPL of 14.46 suggests he's performing well, but managers are opting for Haaland's higher ceiling. Watkins' next fixture is a favourable one against Sheffield Utd away.
The Top 10 Transfer Combinations from the Transfer Analytics tool.
Erling Haaland is fit and ready to lead the line for Man City. With his team facing Brentford away in Gameweek 23, he's a favored choice among top managers. His low minutes in the last Gameweek are a concern, but his projected points and Man City's attacking potential make him a tempting option.
Julián Álvarez has been in fine form, but the return of Haaland could limit his playing time. Managers are cashing in on his recent performances and switching to more secure options.
Anthony Gordon has been involved in Newcastle's positive run of form. With a favorable home fixture against Luton, he's expected to continue his productive streak.
Jarrod Bowen's recent performances and tough upcoming fixtures have led to a decrease in ownership. Managers are looking for players with better fixtures and form.
Kevin De Bruyne remains a creative force for Man City. Despite playing limited minutes recently, his quality and potential for points in upcoming fixtures make him a popular transfer in.</p>
Darwin Núñez's injury concern and Liverpool's challenging fixture this Gameweek are likely reasons for managers transferring him out. </p>
Ollie Watkins has been performing well for Aston Villa, but the allure of Haaland's goal-scoring prowess is too strong for managers to ignore.
What is xFPL?
xFPL is calculated primarily using expected goals (xG), assists (xA), which combine as Fantasy Premier League (FPL) involvements (xG + xA = xI), as well as expected clean sheets (xCS). These numbers are a result of underlying statistics (i.e. shot type and location will give a probability of scoring = xG). xFPL is the combination of these statistics and factors in appearance and bonus points to give an overall expected FPL point score.
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