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Gameweek 7: Top Three FPL Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 29 Sept. 2023

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) Gameweek 6 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Carlton Morris (eve/BUR)

Morris has been involved in all of Luton’s three goals this season and he is top amongst their players for goals (two), xG (2.3), SoT (four) and assists (one). He was also their top scorer in the Championship with 20 goals and six assists. The Hatters are ranked 13th for BC (10) and 17th for xG (7.07), but they have played a game fewer than the rest of the league barring Burnley. Their hosts for the first game Everton have conceded 10 goals and are yet to keep a clean sheet. The Toffees are ranked 12th for ‘Expected Goals conceded’ xGC (9.66). Their second opponents Burnley have conceded 13 goals and have also not kept a clean sheet. Only Sheff. Utd. (17) have conceded more goals, while Burnley are also ranked 11th for shots conceded (78). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 8.1 for Morris.

gw7capsmorris

Use predictive FPL statistics to increase your Gameweek points.

Erling Haaland (wol)

Haaland has scored eight goals in six games this season, the Norwegian international is top amongst all players for shots (31), shots on target (SoT) (17), ‘big chances’ (BC) (14) and ‘Expected Goals’ (xG) (7.98). As the below image from our Fix Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 8.5 FPL points per game. Man. City have scored 16 goals and only Brighton (18) have scored more. Their total of 21 BC is only beaten by Newcastle (22) and Liverpool (23). Their opponents Wolves have conceded 13 goals, with only Burnley (13) and Sheff. Utd. (17) faring worse. Meanwhile, only Sheff. Utd. (92) have allowed opponents more shots in the box (SiB) than the Midlands side (75). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.9 for Haaland.

gw7capshaaland

Jarrod Bowen (SHU)

Bowen’s four goals is only bettered by Son (five) amongst midfielders, while only Salah (14) and Rashford (20) have taken more SiB than his 12. Meanwhile, only Mbeumo (six) has been afforded more BC than his five. Bowen was rested midweek and as the below image from our Match Stats feature shows, over the Hammers' last five matches he is ranked top amongst their players for goals (four), xG (2.3) and SoT (seven). West Ham have scored in every game this season, the Hammers are ranked seventh for goals scored (11) and ninth for BC (16). Their opponents Sheff. Utd. have the worst defensive record in the division, the Blades are bottom for goals conceded (17), SiB conceded (92) and xGC (16.28). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 6.5 for Bowen.

gw7capsbowen

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