Caveat - This blog was written prior to the matches on 13/12/2020

Headliner - Kevin De Bruyne (WBA)

De Bruyne has notched one goal and three assists over the last four matches, averaging 7.3 points per game (PPG) as per our Fix Heatmaps feature. No midfielder has taken more shots (17) or shots in the box (SiB) (12) over that period and only Rashford (four) has been afforded more ‘big chances’ than his three. Only M. Pereira (13), Mahrez (14) and B. Fernandes (17) have created more chances than his 11 and no midfielder has created more ‘big chances’ (six). Man. City have scored seven goals over the last four gameweeks, while only Liverpool (eight) have been more prolific. Meanwhile, Leeds (69) are the only team to have taken more shots than their 65 and no side has registered more ‘big chances’ (13). West Brom have conceded eight goals over the same period, the most in the league. Only Leeds (28) have allowed opponents more shots on target (SoT) than the Baggies’ 24. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 9.5 for the Belgian. 

Timo Werner (wol)

Chelsea will be looking to get back to winning ways after their loss against Everton and will look to Werner to provide the goal threat. Over the last four gameweeks, only six forwards have registered more SiB than the German’s eight and only Calvert-Lewin (five) has registered more ‘big chances’ than his four. As the Stats Sandbox shows, no forward has attempted more assists (six) or created more ‘big chances’ (two). Chelsea have scored five goals over the last four gameweeks and only West Ham (six), Man. Utd, Man. City (both seven) and Liverpool (eight) have scored more. Their total of 60 shots is only bettered by Man. City (65) and Leeds (69), while only Man. City (13) have registered more ‘big chances’ than their 12. Wolves have conceded four goals over their last four matches, keeping no clean sheets and only West Brom (eight) have been more porous. The Midlands side have allowed opponents 12 SoT and seven ‘big chances’ over those matches. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 3.4 for the German. 

Jack Grealish (BUR)

Grealish has taken eight shots over the last four gameweeks and only six midfielders can better his total of 10 chances created. He is the third most transferred in player this week as per our Transfer Stats feature. Villa have scored three goals over the last four gameweeks and are ranked 10th for shots (44) and ninth for ‘big chances’ (eight), despite a blank fixture in gameweek 11. Burnley have conceded six goals over the last four gameweeks and only Wolves (seven) and West Brom (eight) have fared worse. Meanwhile, Everton (18), Southampton (19), West Ham, West Brom (both 24) and Leeds (28) are the only teams to have allowed opponents more SoT than the Clarets' 17. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.0 for Grealish. 

Patrick Bamford (NEW)

Bamford failed to get on the scoresheet against West Ham in gameweek 12, but his underlying numbers are excellent. No forward has taken more shots (17) or SiB (15) over the last four gameweeks and only Calvert-Lewin (five) has registered more 'big chances' than his four. Calvert-Lewin (seven) and Richarlison (nine) are the only two players to have registered more SoT than his six. He is owned by 53% of the top 1000 as per our FPL Statistics feature. Leeds have scored just three goals over the last four gameweeks but are top for shots (69) and SiB (47). Only Man. Utd (21), Wolves (24) and Everton (25) have landed more SoT than their 20. Newcastle have conceded three goals over the last four gameweeks, allowing opponents 39 shots and nine SoT. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 4.0 for Bamford. 

Andrew Robertson (TOT)

Robertson has registered 20 points over his last three matches, averaging 6.66 PPG. Only Coufal (seven) has created more chances than his six over the last four gameweeks and Digne (three) is the only defender to have created more 'big chances' than his two. Liverpool have conceded just two goals over the last four gameweeks, keeping two clean sheets. Their total of 20 SiB conceded is bettered only by Chelsea (19), Brighton (18) and Man. City (16). Spurs have scored just four goals over the last four gameweeks and their underlying numbers have been poor. The Lilywhites are bottom for shots (14), SoT (six) and 'big chances' (two). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a 30% chance of a Liverpool clean sheet and a point score of 3.6 for Robertson.