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29 Nov.

GW14 Top Three Captaincy Picks

By Fantasy Football Fix ()

Caveat - Picks are in below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Mohamed Salah (eve)

Salah has found the back of the net only once in the last four gameweeks but ranks second for shots in the box (SiB) amongst midfielders (10), trailing only Jota (11). No midfielder has notched more assists (three) than the Egyptian and he is also top for 'big chances' created (three). Liverpool are top for goals scored (12) and shots on target (SoT) (23) over the same period while only Chelsea (15) have fashioned more 'big chances' than their 12. Everton have conceded six goals over the last four gameweeks, they have allowed opponents 10 'big chances' with only Newcastle, Brentford (each 11) and Leicester (13) faring worse. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 7.1 for Salah.

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Jamie Vardy (sou)

Vardy found his scoring touch again with two goals against Watford in gameweek 13. Over the last four gameweeks, only Pukki (nine), A. Armstrong (10), Benteke (11) and King (12) have attempted more SiB amongst forwards than Vardy's eight. As the Stats Sandbox image below shows, his four SoT is bettered only by Aubameyang, Pukki, Toney and Benteke (five each). Leicester have scored five goals over the last four gameweeks and ranked fourth for SoT (22), behind Man. City, Liverpool and Chelsea (all 23). Their opponents Southampton have conceded six goals over the aforementioned period and are ranked 11th for shots conceded (52) and eighth for SoT conceded (16). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 4.8 for Vardy.

gw14capsvardy.png

Harry Kane (BRE)

Spurs' game against Burnley was postponed in gameweek 13 due to poor weather conditions which means that Kane should be rested and raring to go against Brentford. As the FPL Statistics image below shows, while his ownership is high in the Top 1k, he is still a differential overall with just 11.2% ownership. His underlying numbers have not been great with just five SiB in the last four gameweeks but his pedigree is unquestionable. Spurs have scored just two goals over the last four gameweeks, crafting seven 'big chances' but Brentford's underlying numbers offer plenty of optimism. The Bees have shipped eight goals over their last four matches, only Newcastle (nine) have been more porous. No side has allowed opponents more SoT than their 23 while only Leicester (13) have allowed opponents more 'big chances' than their 11. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.3 for Kane.

gw14capskane.png

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