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GW16 Top Three Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 6 Dec. 2019

Caveat - Picks are in below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Raheem Sterling (MUN)

With eight goals this season, Sterling trails only Agüero (nine) for goals amongst Man. City players and only Mané (nine) has notched more amongst midfielders. He remains top for shots (44), ‘big chances’ (16) and only Mount (16), Mané (18) and Salah (19) have landed more shots on target (SoT) than his 15. As per our Match Stats feature, Sterling leads the way for expected goals (xG) amongst Man. City players over the last five matches with 1.9 and only De Bruyne and Jesus (both six) have landed more SoT than his four. The defending Champions are top for all attacking metrics – goals (43), shots (314), SoT (106) and ‘big chances’ (64). Man. Utd have conceded 18 goals this season, keeping just two clean sheets. They allowed opponents 61 SoT and 24 ‘big chances’ across those 15 matches. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 6.3 for Sterling.

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Jamie Vardy (avl)

The top point scorer in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) with 115 points, Vardy has enjoyed a stellar season thus far notching 14 goals and four assists. He now has the underlying statistics to back it up too. The Leicester man is top amongst forwards for SoT (22) and ‘big chances’ (20). He has played every minute of every game for Leicester this season, racking up a total of 1350 minutes. This is a huge advantage in the busy festive period as unlike other premium assets, he will not be rotated. His price has already risen 0.1 this gameweek and you can track further movements using our Price Predictor feature. The Foxes have scored 35 goals thus far, while only Liverpool (37) and Man. City (43) have been more prolific. They are also fifth for SoT with 78, while only Man. Utd (79), Liverpool (92), Chelsea (96) and Man. City (106) have tested the opposition goalkeeper more frequently. They are also fourth for ‘big chances’ (41), trailing just Chelsea (45), Liverpool (48) and Man. City (64). Their opponents Villa have conceded 24 goals this season, only six teams have been more porous. They allowed the opposition a whopping 282 shots, more than any other team in the league. They are also ranked eighth-bottom for ‘big chances’ conceded with 33. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.9 for Vardy.

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Heung Min-Son (BUR)

The top scoring Spurs asset, Son has racked up 76 FPL points this season, notching four goals and eight assists. As the Stats Sandbox shows, he is sixth for shots in the box (SiB) amongst midfielders with 24, only Pulisiic (25), Mané (29), Richarlison, Salah (both 33) and Sterling (39) fared better. He is also ranked sixth for SoT with 14, beaten only by McGinn, Sterling (both 15), Mount (16), Mané (18) and Salah (19). Spurs have scored 25 goals this season, only Chelsea (30), Leicester (35), Liverpool (37) and Man. City (43) have scored more. They have created 29 ‘big chances’ and landed 64 SoT over those 15 matches. Burnley have conceded 24 goals this season, only West Ham (25), Everton (27), Watford (30), Norwich (32) and Southampton (33) have shipped more. They have allowed opponents 204 shots, the ninth-worst in the league. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.7 for the Korean.

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