Caveat - Picks are in below format

1. No.1 predicted by Fix
2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
3. Differential option. Under 20%

Tammy Abraham (SOU)

Abraham will be looking to add to his 11 goals this season as Chelsea face off against Southampton in gameweek 19, only Vardy (17) has scored more goals than the Blues’ striker. His total of 54 shots is bettered only by Jiménez (58) and Rashford (59) amongst forwards and he leads the way for shots in the box (SiB) 47. He has been afforded 17 ‘big chances’ with only Rashford (18), Wood (19) and Vardy (23) faring better. Chelsea have scored 33 goals this season, only Leicester (41), Liverpool (42) and Man. City (50) have been more prolific. They only trail Man. City for shots (374 to 305) and shots on target (SoT) (130 to 108). Southampton have conceded 37 goals this season, keeping just two clean sheets, bottom of the league in both metrics. They have allowed opponents 43 ‘big chances’ and only Villa, Norwich (both 46) and West Ham (55) have been more generous. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.8 for Abraham.

Marcus Rashford (NEW)

Rashford has enjoyed a great campaign so far, scoring 10 goals. Only Ings, Aubameyang, Abraham (all 11) and Vardy (17) have been more successful. He is top amongst forwards for shots (59) and only Pukki (27) and Vardy (28) have landed more SoT than his 26. He has been afforded 18 ‘big chances’ with only Wood (19) and Vardy (23) registering more. As the Stats Sandbox graph shows, his creative numbers are also impressive, only Deulofeu (28) and Jiménez (31) have created more chances than Rashford’s 24. Man. Utd have scored 26 goals this season, only five teams have notched more. They are ranked fourth for shots (265) and SoT (102) with only Liverpool, Chelsea and Man. City (274, 305, 374 and 107, 108, 130 respectively) faring better. Their opponents Newcastle have conceded 24 goals this season and only Norwich (199) and Villa (222) have allowed opponents more SiB than their 188. Only six teams have conceded more ‘big chances’ than their 39. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 4.8 for Rashford.

Dele Alli (BRI)

With the suspension to Son, Spurs will be looking to Alli to step up as they host Brighton. Only De Bruyne (four) has scored more goals than the Englishman’s three over the last six gameweeks and only six midfielders have managed more ‘big chances’ than his three. As the Stats Sandbox table shows, his total of seven SoT is only beaten by the Man. City duo of Mahrez (nine) and De Bruyne (12). Spurs have scored 32 goals this season, only Chelsea (33), Leicester (41), Liverpool (42) and Man. City (50) have scored more. They have landed 77 SoT with only six teams faring better. Brighton have conceded 26 goals this season keeping just four clean sheets. Only five teams have allowed opponents more SoT than their 92 and they are fourth-bottom for ‘big chances’ conceded as well (43) with only Villa, Norwich (both 46) and West Ham (55) faring worse. Our Fix Algorithm projects a point score of 5.4 for Alli.