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GW23 Top Three Captaincy Picks

20 Jan. 2022

Caveat - Picks are in below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Cristiano Ronaldo (WHU)

Ronaldo has scored five goals at home this season, only Vardy (six) has been more prolific amongst forwards on home turf. The Portugal international is top for shots (36) and 'big chances' (nine) amongst forwards in home matches with only Kane and Saint-Maximin (each 13) landing more shots on target (SoT) than his 11. Man. Utd have scored 17 goals at Old Trafford this season and are ranked eighth for both shots (152) and SoT (49) in home matches. Their visitors West Ham have conceded 12 goals in their 11 away matches this season keeping just three clean sheets. Only Norwich (171), Leeds (173) and Burnley (194) have allowed opponents more shots than the Hammers (167). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 6.6 for Ronaldo.

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Diogo Jota (cry)

Jota has found the back of the net twice over the last six gameweeks and as the Stats Sandbox image below shows, no midfielder has taken more shots in the box (SiB) (19) than the 25-year old over that period. Only Son (seven) and De Bruyne (nine) have landed more SoT than his six while it is only Martinelli, Son (each five), Salah and Bowen (each seven) that have been afforded more 'big chances' than his four. Liverpool have scored 10 goals over the aforementioned period, only Southampton (11), Arsenal (12), West Ham (13) and Man. City (21) have fared better. Spurs (24) are the only side to create more 'big chances' than the Merseyside outfit (19). Their hosts Palace have conceded nine goals over the last six gameweeks keeping just one clean sheet. Meanwhile, Leeds (75), Norwich (77), West Ham (93) and Brentford (95) are the only teams to have allowed opponents more shots than the Eagles (73) over that period. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.4 for Jota.

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Josh King (NOR)

Despite failing to find the back of the net recently, King has posted decent numbers. As the below image from our Match Stats feature shows, the forward is top amongst Watford players for 'Expected Goals' (0.8), assists (one) and chances created (six) over the last five gameweeks with only João Pedro (four) landing more SoT than his three. The Hornets have played just three matches over the last six gameweeks and are ranked 16th for both shots (38) and SoT (13). Their opponents Norwich have conceded 13 goals over the same period with only Leeds and Brentford (14 each) leaking more. The Canaries have allowed opponents 77 shots over those matches, with only West Ham (93) and Brentford (95) faring worse. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 4.0 for King.

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