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GW25 Top Three Captaincy Picks

Fantasy Football Fix 10 Feb. 2022

Caveat - Picks are in below format

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
  3. Differential option. Under 20%

Cristiano Ronaldo (SOU, BHA)

Ronaldo has found the back of the net just once in the last six gameweeks but his underlying numbers have been strong with no forward attempting more shots in the box (SiB) than his 15. Only Broja, Antonio (each four), Edouard (five) and Kane (seven) have been afforded more 'big chances' than his three. Man. Utd have scored 11 goals over the aforementioned period with only Soutampton, Man. City (each 13) and West Ham (14) more prolific. The Red Devils are top for shots (106) while only West Ham and Spurs (each 21) have notched more 'big chances' than their 16. Their first visitors Southampton have conceded 10 goals over the last six gameweeks with only Palace (11), Norwich (12) and Brentford (18) faring worse. Only Brentford (18) and Leicester (21) have conceded more 'big chances' than the Saints (17). Their second game against Brighton could be a tighter affair, the Seagulls have conceded just six goals in as many gameweeks keeping just a solitary clean sheet. They have conceded plenty of shots (77) with only six teams more generous. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 10.6 for Ronaldo.

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Mohamed Salah (bur)

Salah has scored 10 of his 16 goals in away matches this season with no other player coming close to that number. As the Stats Sandbox image below shows, the Egyptian is top for shots (43), SiB (36), shots on target (SoT) (20) and 'big chances' (19) amongst all midfielders in away matches. Liverpool have scored the most goals (33) in away matches this season and are also top for 'big chances' (47) and SoT (74) on the road. Their hosts Burnley have been fairly resolute at Turf Moor, conceding just nine goals in as many matches. Only Arsenal (36), Liverpool (27) and Man. City (26) have allowed opponents fewer SoT in home matches than the Clarets' 38 but it is worth mentioning that they have played only nine home matches compared to 11 for most other teams. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 7.1 for Salah.

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Neal Maupay (wat, mun)

Maupay has racked up 18 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) points over the last five gameweeks, only Mac Allister (28) has managed more amongst Brighton players. As the below image from our Match Stats feature shows, over the aforementioned period Maupay is top for assists (three) and second for attempted assists (seven) amongst all Brighton players. The Seagulls have scored seven goals over that time with only six teams faring better. Their total of 73 shots is beaten only by Spurs (83) and Man. Utd (93). Their first opponents Watford have conceded 10 goals over the last five gameweeks with only Brentford (16) more porous. Only West Ham (85), Burnley (93) and Brentford (102) have allowed opponents more shots than the Hornets (75). Their second opponents Man. Utd have conceded just six goals over the same period but kept just one clean sheet. Their goalkeeper De Gea has been kept busy, only Brentford (41) have allowed opponents more SoT than the Red Devils (31). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 7.0 for Maupay.

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