Caveat - Picks are in below format

1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
3. Differential option. Under 20%

Ismaïla Sarr (LEE)

Watford will need Sarr to be at his best to avoid relegation and over the last six gameweeks none of their players have created more chances (seven) or 'big chances' (four) than the Senegalese international. Only Ward-Prowse, Son (five each) and Kulusevski (six) have created more 'big chances' than him amongst midfielders over that period. He is also top amongst Watford midfielders for shots (five). The Hornets have scored only six goals in as many gameweeks but are ranked sixth for 'big chances' (14) which is encouraging. Their visitors, Leeds, have the worst defensive record in the league, no team have conceded more goals (22) or allowed opponents more 'big chances' (24) over the aforementioned period. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.4 for Sarr.

Harry Kane (avl)

Kane has racked up four goals in the last four gameweeks with only Toney (five) being more prolific. As the Stats Sandbox image below shows, no forward has taken more shots (20), shots on target (SoT) (six) or been afforded more 'big chances' (seven). He is also posting impressive creative numbers and is top amongst forwards for assists (four), chances created (11) and 'big chances' created (five). Spurs have scored 17 goals over the last four gameweeks, only Brentford (10) have found the back of the net more often. They are top for shots (77) and 'big chances' (23). Their hosts Villa have conceded five goals over the last four gameweeks and are ranked 14th for 'big chances' conceded (10). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.2 for Kane.

Bruno Fernandes (eve)

B. Fernandes has thrived in a more forward role, and over the last six gameweeks the Portugal international is ranked 10th for shots (16), ninth for SoT (six) and sixth for 'big chances' (three) amongst midfielders. As our Match Stats feature shows, over Man. Utd's last five matches he is second for 'Expected Goals' (2.0), SoT (six) and assists (two). The Red Devils have scored nine goals over the same period and are ranked 11th for both shots in the box (SiB) (47) and 'big chances' (11). Everton looked poor defensively against Burnley and over the last six gameweeks only Leeds (22) have conceded more goals than the Toffees' 14. They are ranked 19th for SoT conceded (44) and 18th for 'big chances' conceded (20). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 5.1 for B. Fernandes.