This blog was written prior to the North London Derby on 12-5-2021.

Caveat - Picks are in below format

1. No.1 predicted by Fix 
2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%
3. Differential option. Under 20%

Jamie Vardy (wat, che)

Vardy's brace against Norwich took his tally to 12 for the season, only Kane (13) and Ronaldo (18) have found the back of the net more often amongst forwards. He has only made 22 appearances but is ranked seventh for 'big chances' (14). The Foxes are ranked eighth for both goals scored (52) and 'big chances' (61) over the season. Their first opponents Watford have conceded 10 goals in the last four gameweeks, only Wolves (11), Man. Utd (14) and Norwich (15) have fared worse. Meanwhile, only Norwich (35) have allowed opponents more SoT than the Hornets (31). The trip to Chelsea does not look as daunting as it did earlier in the season, the London side have conceded eight goals in the last four gameweeks and are ranked 12th for 'big chances' conceded (nine). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 8.6 for Vardy.

Richarlison (BRE, CRY)

Richarlison has found the back of the net twice over the last four gameweeks and as the Stats Sandbox image below shows he is second only to Ronaldo (15) for shots in the box (SiB) amongst forwards (13). Only Nketiah and Ronaldo (nine each) have landed more SoT than his seven during the same timeframe. Everton have scored four goals over as many gameweeks and are ranked 11th for SiB (37). Their first visitors Brentford have been in fine-form of late, conceding just four goals in as many matches. The Bees are ranked fifth for SoT conceded (13) and sixth for 'big chances' conceded (four). The second game against Palace could be a tight affair, the Eagles have conceded just two goals over their last four matches keeping two clean sheets. No side has allowed opponents fewer SoT (10) or 'big chances' (zero) than the London side. Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 7.4 for Richarlison.

Wilfried Zaha (avl, eve)

Zaha has been playing up-top for Palace recently and has scored two goals in the last four gameweeks. He is ranked fifth for shots (13) amongst midfielders and top for SoT (eight). The Ivory Coast international is the second-most transferred in player this week with over 80,000 managers bringing him in already, as can be seen in the Transfer analytics image below. Palace have scored three goals over the last four gameweeks and are ranked sixth for SiB (46). Villa have been solid under Gerrard, the Birmingham side have conceded just three goals in the last four gameweeks and have kept two clean sheets. They are ranked second for 'big chances' conceded (two) and eighth for SoT conceded (20). Everton have conceded just four goals in the last four gameweeks keeping two clean sheets. However, the Toffees have been a bit fortunate not to let in more, they are ranked ninth for 'big chances' conceded (seven) and 11th for SoT conceded (20). Our Fix Algorithm currently projects a point score of 7.8 for Zaha.